Summerville
Investment Analysis

Summerville, SC
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
41
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.2%
Gross Yield
3.6%
P/R Ratio
22.5x
YoY Growth
-0.9%
Median Home Price
$366,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,106/mo
Median Income
$78,621
Population
51,262

Investment Breakdown

33
Value Score
41
Growth Score
47
Safety Score
49
Afford Score

Summerville has a price-to-rent ratio of 22.5x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.2% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -0.9% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,106
Annual Gross $13,272

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$458
Insurance (~0.5%) -$153
Maintenance (~1%) -$305
Est. Net Cash Flow $191/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Summerville Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$375K2027$415Kโ–ฒ 10.6%2028$431Kโ–ฒ 14.9%20232024Now
$453K$345K
Current
$366K
2026
Projected
$415K
โ†‘ 10.6% by 2027
Projected
$431K
โ†‘ 14.9% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.8%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.69
โ–ผ

When evaluating the Summerville housing market forecast for the 2026-2028 period, the current data suggests a period of stabilization rather than explosive growth. With a median home price of $375,345 and a price-to-rent ratio of 25.1xโ€”well above the national average of 18xโ€”the market is stretched relative to local incomes. The recent YoY price change of -1.2% signals a cooling phase, especially when compared to the robust 5-year price change of 34.3%. This deceleration is a natural correction following years of rapid appreciation.

A key question for potential buyers is whether Summerville home prices will drop further or find a floor. The market temperature of 60/100 and a risk grade of A indicate a fundamentally strong area, but affordability will be a major headwind. Continued population growth from the Charleston metro area and strong local employment will support demand, yet elevated mortgage rates and the high price-to-rent ratio may keep a lid on appreciation. With days on market at 35, properties are still moving, but sellers must price realistically.

Looking toward Summerville real estate in Summerville 2027, the outlook is balanced. The 5-year CAGR of 6.0% provides a solid baseline for future growth, likely aligning with inflation rather than outpacing it significantly. The "RENT" verdict for the buy/rent decision underscores that purchasing is currently less financially attractive than leasing in the short term. However, for long-term holders, the area's desirability and low risk grade offer stability. Expect modest price adjustments in 2026, followed by a return to low single-digit growth by 2027 and 2028 as the market absorbs the recent correction.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.0%
5yr CAGR
+5.8%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.8%

Healthcare

68
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.6%
Months Supply 6.3
Price Drops 31%
Gone in 2 Wks 20%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Summerville.

Total ROI
-137%
on $73,200 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$100,482
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,773
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y176kY279kY383kY486kY590k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$100,482
Final Equity
$90,359

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Summerville

Property

Purchase Price$366,000
Monthly Rent$1,106
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,596
Monthly Cash Flow
-$19,152/ year
-26.2%
Cash-on-Cash
0.8%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,106
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,851
โˆ’ Property Tax$366
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$305
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$55
= Net Cash Flow-$1,596

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$73,200
Loan Amount
$292,800
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,702
Gross Yield
3.6%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026