Tanaina CDP
Investment Analysis

Tanaina CDP, AK
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

27.2x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
3.7%
Recorded YoY field
Not available

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$426,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,306/mo
Median Income
$95,587
Population
9,738

Housing Screening Context

Tanaina CDP has a computed screening multiple of 27.2x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 3.7%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: Not available. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,306
Annual Gross $15,672

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$533
Insurance (~0.5%) -$178
Maintenance (~1%) -$355
Est. Net Cash Flow $241/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tanaina CDP Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$422K2027$427Kโ–ฒ 1.2%2028$442Kโ–ฒ 4.7%20232024Now
$464K$352K
Current
$426K
2026
Projected
$427K
โ†‘ 1.2% by 2027
Projected
$442K
โ†‘ 4.7% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.2%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.95
โ–ผ

Looking ahead to the 2026-2028 period, our Tanaina CDP housing market forecast suggests a period of consolidation rather than rapid growth. The market is currently balanced, with a Market Temperature of 50/100, reflecting a significant cooldown from the momentum seen in previous years. While the 5-Year Price Change of 31.2% demonstrates strong historical appreciation, the current YoY Price Change of 0.0% signals that price growth has effectively stalled. This plateau, combined with a Risk Grade of C, indicates that external economic factors are creating headwinds. For potential buyers asking will Tanaina CDP home prices drop, the data points to stability rather than a sharp decline, as the market finds a new equilibrium.

Affordability will be a key determinant of the market's trajectory in 2026 and 2027. With a Price-to-Rent Ratio of 19.0x, which sits slightly above the national average, the financial incentive to buy versus rent is marginal, potentially capping buyer demand. The local economy, heavily influenced by Alaska's broader resource and tourism sectors, will need to provide stable employment to support the current median home price of $298,500. While the Days on Market of 35 indicates that properties are still selling at a reasonable pace, the Buy/Rent Verdict of NEUTRAL suggests that neither renters nor buyers have a distinct advantage. For those evaluating Tanaina CDP real estate Tanaina CDP 2027 opportunities, the outlook is one of cautious stability, with appreciation likely to track closely with inflation and local wage growth rather than the rapid gains of the past five years.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.3%
5yr CAGR
+5.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) -0.5%

Healthcare

68
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Low Inventory

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 102.1%
Months Supply 1.9
Price Drops 22%
Gone in 2 Wks 47%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Tanaina CDP.

Total ROI
-136%
on $85,200 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$115,790
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,046
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y189kY292kY396kY4101kY5105k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$115,790
Final Equity
$105,171

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Tanaina CDP

Property

Purchase Price$426,000
Monthly Rent$1,306
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,819
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$21,833/ year
-25.6%
Cash-on-Cash
0.9%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,306
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,154
โˆ’ Property Tax$426
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$355
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$65
= Net Cash Flow-$1,819

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$85,200
Loan Amount
$340,800
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,125
Gross Yield
3.7%

Investor Toolkit

Research Tanaina CDP before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026