Warwick
Investment Analysis

Warwick, RI
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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60
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.3%
Gross Yield
3.8%
P/R Ratio
19.6x
YoY Growth
+2.5%
Median Home Price
$425,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,362/mo
Median Income
$86,193
Population
82,997

Investment Breakdown

41
Value Score
75
Growth Score
84
Safety Score
49
Afford Score

Warwick has a price-to-rent ratio of 19.6x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 2.3% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +2.5% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,362
Annual Gross $16,344

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$531
Insurance (~0.5%) -$177
Maintenance (~1%) -$354
Est. Net Cash Flow $300/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Warwick Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$402K2027$436Kโ–ฒ 8.5%2028$461Kโ–ฒ 14.7%20232024Now
$484K$320K
Current
$425K
2026
Projected
$436K
โ†‘ 8.5% by 2027
Projected
$461K
โ†‘ 14.7% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.8%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.97
โ–ผ

Looking at the Warwick housing market forecast through 2028, the data paints a picture of a market that is cooling from its recent torrid pace but still holding firm. The 5-Year Price Change of 47.8% is staggering, leaving little room for a sharp correction unless external economic conditions deteriorate significantly. However, the YoY Price Change of just 2.5% signals a dramatic slowdown in appreciation, aligning with a broader normalization. With a Market Temperature of 69/100, Warwick remains a seller's market, but the leverage is shifting. The critical question of will Warwick home prices drop seems answered in the short term by this stabilization; a soft landing is more likely than a crash, barring a major recession. The Risk Grade of A suggests that while appreciation may slow, the underlying market fundamentals remain exceptionally strong.

The core tension in the Warwick real estate Warwick 2027 outlook is affordability. A Price-to-Rent Ratio of 21.9x significantly exceeds the national average of 18x, and the Buy/Rent Verdict of "RENT" underscores that ownership is stretched. This metric will likely cap price growth, as buyers will increasingly hit income barriers. Local factors will be key; Warwick's proximity to Providence and its own robust airport and logistics economy provide a stable employment base that supports housing demand. However, with the median price at $401,869 and Days on Market at a brisk 21, inventory remains tight. This scarcity will prevent prices from falling significantly, even as buyers become more price-sensitive. Expect a bifurcated market where entry-level homes remain competitive, while higher-priced properties may see longer selling times. Overall, the forecast suggests steady, single-digit growth rather than the explosive gains of the previous five years, making it a stable but less speculative environment for investors.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.3%
5yr CAGR
+7.8%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.6%

Healthcare

82
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.8%
Months Supply 1.6
Price Drops 12%
Gone in 2 Wks 42%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Warwick.

Total ROI
-66%
on $85,000 invested
Annual ROI
-19.2%
compounded
Total Return
-$55,753
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,985
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y199kY2114kY3129kY4145kY5161k
Appreciation
$56,083
Cash Flow
-$111,836
Final Equity
$161,008

* Estimates based on 2.5% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Warwick

Property

Purchase Price$425,000
Monthly Rent$1,362
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,759
Monthly Cash Flow
-$21,112/ year
-24.8%
Cash-on-Cash
1.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,362
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,149
โˆ’ Property Tax$425
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$354
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$68
= Net Cash Flow-$1,759

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$85,000
Loan Amount
$340,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,121
Gross Yield
3.8%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026