Ames
Investment Analysis

Ames, IA
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

29.1x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
3.4%
Recorded YoY field
+3.0%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$321,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$918/mo
Median Income
$58,693
Population
65,676

Housing Screening Context

Ames has a computed screening multiple of 29.1x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 3.4%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: +3.0%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $918
Annual Gross $11,016

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$401
Insurance (~0.5%) -$134
Maintenance (~1%) -$268
Est. Net Cash Flow $116/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Ames Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📈 Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$305K2027$311K 2.2%2028$318K 4.4%20232024Now
$334K$271K
Current
$321K
2026
Projected
$311K
2.2% by 2027
Projected
$318K
4.4% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+3.5%
Confidence:Moderate
R²:0.75

When evaluating the Ames housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of consolidation rather than rapid appreciation. The current median home price of $264,792 has grown at a steady but modest pace, with a 5-year CAGR of 3.9% and a recent YoY change of just 2.3%. With a price-to-rent ratio of 22.6x—significantly above the national average of 18x—the financial scales currently tip in favor of renting, as reflected in the "RENT" verdict. While the market isn't overheating, it isn't cooling rapidly either; Days on Market sits at a brisk 36 days, indicating sustained buyer interest despite affordability constraints.

For those asking will Ames home prices drop in the near term, the Risk Grade of A suggests stability, but affordability remains a headwind. The local economy, heavily anchored by Iowa State University, provides a buffer against volatility, yet high interest rates could cap pricing power. The market temperature of 64/100 reflects a balanced environment. As we look toward Ames real estate Ames 2027, expect appreciation to track closer to historical norms—likely in the 2-4% range annually—rather than the explosive growth seen in earlier years. The 5-year price range of $217,564 – $264,793 shows a gradual climb, and barring a major economic shock, prices are more likely to plateau or see slight real-term declines than a sharp correction.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.2%
5yr CAGR
+3.5%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.9%

Healthcare

76
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 99.1%
Months Supply 1.5
Price Drops 39%
Gone in 2 Wks 50%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Ames.

Total ROI
-63%
on $64,200 invested
Annual ROI
-18.1%
compounded
Total Return
-$40,605
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,605
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y176kY289kY3102kY4116kY5130k
Appreciation
$50,766
Cash Flow
-$91,371
Final Equity
$130,015

* Estimates based on 3.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Ames

Property

Purchase Price$321,000
Monthly Rent$918
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,465
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$17,575/ year
-27.4%
Cash-on-Cash
0.6%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$918
− Mortgage (P&I)$1,623
− Property Tax$321
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$268
− Vacancy Loss$46
= Net Cash Flow-$1,465

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$64,200
Loan Amount
$256,800
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,383
Gross Yield
3.4%

Investor Toolkit

Research Ames before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026