Atlanta
Investment Analysis

Atlanta, GA
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

20.0x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
5.0%
Recorded YoY field
-4.3%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$395,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,643/mo
Median Income
$85,880
Population
510,826

Housing Screening Context

Atlanta has a computed screening multiple of 20.0x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 5.0%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: -4.3%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,643
Annual Gross $19,716

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$494
Insurance (~0.5%) -$165
Maintenance (~1%) -$329
Est. Net Cash Flow $656/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Atlanta Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$389K2027$406Kโ–ฒ 4.3%2028$406Kโ–ฒ 4.4%20232024Now
$441K$370K
Current
$395K
2026
Projected
$406K
โ†‘ 4.3% by 2027
Projected
$406K
โ†‘ 4.4% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+1.1%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.00
โ–ผ

For anyone gauging the Atlanta housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic swings. The current median home price of $378,629 has already seen a slight correction with a -3.9% year-over-year change, indicating the market is digesting the rapid appreciation of previous years. With a price-to-rent ratio of 18.1x, which sits right at the national average, the financial incentive between buying and renting remains balanced. The moderate 5-Year CAGR of 2.4% signals that while growth has slowed, the long-term trajectory remains positive, supported by Atlantaโ€™s robust corporate presence and steady population inflows from higher-cost regions.

When asking will Atlanta home prices drop significantly, the local economic fundamentals suggest a "soft landing" scenario is more probable than a crash. The market temperature of 52/100 and an A- risk grade point to a balanced environment where affordability pressures are met with consistent demand, particularly in suburban corridors benefiting from ongoing infrastructure projects. While days on market at 76 indicate homes are moving at a measured pace, the five-year price range of $336,168 โ€“ $410,156 establishes a clear support floor. As we look toward Atlanta real estate Atlanta 2027, the expectation is for modest appreciation driven by the cityโ€™s expanding tech and film industries, keeping the market resilient despite national economic headwinds.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.0%
5yr CAGR
+1.1%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.4%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.9%

Healthcare

71
Score
Good

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 98.1%
Months Supply 5.3
Price Drops 31%
Gone in 2 Wks 26%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Atlanta.

Total ROI
-102%
on $79,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$80,431
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,487
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y182kY286kY389kY493kY598k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$80,431
Final Equity
$97,518

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Atlanta

Property

Purchase Price$395,000
Monthly Rent$1,643
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,286
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$15,428/ year
-19.5%
Cash-on-Cash
2.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,643
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,997
โˆ’ Property Tax$395
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$329
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$82
= Net Cash Flow-$1,286

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$79,000
Loan Amount
$316,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,929
Gross Yield
5.0%

Investor Toolkit

Research Atlanta before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026