Bend
Investment Analysis

Bend, OR
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

50.5x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
2.0%
Recorded YoY field
-3.2%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$778,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,283/mo
Median Income
$95,527
Population
104,554

Housing Screening Context

Bend has a computed screening multiple of 50.5x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 2.0%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: -3.2%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,283
Annual Gross $15,396

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$973
Insurance (~0.5%) -$324
Maintenance (~1%) -$648
Est. Net Cash Flow -$662/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Bend Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$738K2027$762Kโ–ฒ 3.2%2028$764Kโ–ฒ 3.5%20232024Now
$811K$701K
Current
$778K
2026
Projected
$762K
โ†‘ 3.2% by 2027
Projected
$764K
โ†‘ 3.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+1.7%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.02
โ–ผ

Looking at the Bend housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than significant appreciation. With a current median home price of $716,155 and a recent YoY price change of -2.8%, the explosive growth seen in prior years has clearly cooled. The 5-year CAGR of 5.4% is more sustainable, but the market's temperature score of 56/100 indicates a balanced, slightly seller-favorable environment that lacks the frenetic energy of the recent past. For those asking if will Bend home prices drop further, the risk grade of A- provides some confidence in market stability, suggesting that while major gains are unlikely, a sharp crash is also improbable given the area's desirability and constrained inventory.

The core challenge for the Bend real estate Bend 2027 outlook is affordability, highlighted by the extreme price-to-rent ratio of 41.1x, far above the national average of 18x. This disparity, combined with a "RENT" verdict, signals that the financial math still favors renting over buying for the foreseeable future, which will cap buyer demand. Local economic factors, including continued in-migration from higher-cost states and a robust remote-work economy, will provide a floor for prices, but the 65 days on market suggests buyers have more time to negotiate. Ultimately, the forecast points to a market finding its footing; expect modest price fluctuations and a gradual return to historical norms, making it a less speculative and more fundamentally driven market by 2028.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.2%
5yr CAGR
+1.7%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.8%

Healthcare

79
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 99.2%
Months Supply 3.4
Price Drops 41%
Gone in 2 Wks 41%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Bend.

Total ROI
-180%
on $155,600 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$280,173
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$4,784
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1162kY2169kY3176kY4184kY5192k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$280,173
Final Equity
$192,074

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Bend

Property

Purchase Price$778,000
Monthly Rent$1,283
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$4,266
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$51,198/ year
-32.9%
Cash-on-Cash
-0.5%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,283
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$3,934
โˆ’ Property Tax$778
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$648
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$64
= Net Cash Flow-$4,266

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$155,600
Loan Amount
$622,400
Total Monthly Expenses
$5,549
Gross Yield
2.0%

Investor Toolkit

Research Bend before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026