Clovis
Investment Analysis

Clovis, NM
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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43
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.9%
Gross Yield
4.8%
P/R Ratio
11.6x
YoY Growth
-3.3%
Median Home Price
$235,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$935/mo
Median Income
$54,029
Population
38,153

Investment Breakdown

65
Value Score
17
Growth Score
22
Safety Score
57
Afford Score

Clovis has a price-to-rent ratio of 11.6x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 2.9% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -3.3% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $935
Annual Gross $11,220

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$294
Insurance (~0.5%) -$98
Maintenance (~1%) -$196
Est. Net Cash Flow $348/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Clovis Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$156K2027$163Kโ–ฒ 4.4%2028$165Kโ–ฒ 5.6%20232024Now
$173K$146K
Current
$235K
2026
Projected
$163K
โ†‘ 4.4% by 2027
Projected
$165K
โ†‘ 5.6% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+1.1%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.28
โ–ผ

Our Clovis housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of modest, stable growth, driven primarily by strong affordability relative to national trends. The current median home price of $156,376 presents a significant value proposition, especially when considering the local price-to-rent ratio of just 12.4x, well below the national average of 18x. This metric strongly supports the BUY verdict for investors and prospective homeowners. While the recent YoY price change of -2.8% may seem concerning, it reflects a normalization after the pandemic-era surge rather than a fundamental market collapse. With a five-year CAGR of 0.9% and a market temperature sitting at a balanced 52/100, the data points toward a sustainable path forward rather than a volatile boom or bust cycle.

For those asking will Clovis home prices drop significantly, the underlying fundamentals suggest otherwise. The local economy, anchored by Cannon Air Force Base and a growing logistics and agricultural sector, provides a stable employment floor that supports housing demand. Furthermore, the current median rent of $935/mo remains accessible, which should continue to attract renters transitioning into ownership. The 5-year price range of $147,393 โ€“ $164,006 indicates a tightly managed market with limited volatility, a trend likely to continue. As we look toward Clovis real estate Clovis 2027, we anticipate a slow but steady appreciation as inventory tightens and affordability remains a key draw for new residents. However, the A- risk grade implies that while the market is solid, it is not entirely immune to broader macroeconomic shifts or interest rate fluctuations.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
4.2%
5yr CAGR
+1.1%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

67
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Months Supply 5.8
Price Drops 18%
Gone in 2 Wks 24%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Clovis.

Total ROI
-107%
on $47,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$50,499
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$925
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y149kY251kY353kY456kY558k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$50,499
Final Equity
$58,017

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Clovis

Property

Purchase Price$235,000
Monthly Rent$935
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$856
Monthly Cash Flow
-$10,270/ year
-21.9%
Cash-on-Cash
1.7%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$935
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,188
โˆ’ Property Tax$235
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$196
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$47
= Net Cash Flow-$856

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$47,000
Loan Amount
$188,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,791
Gross Yield
4.8%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026