Hobbs
Investment Analysis

Hobbs, NM
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

25.0x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
4.0%
Recorded YoY field
+2.6%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$279,950
Average Rent (1BR)
$935/mo
Median Income
$65,691
Population
39,887

Housing Screening Context

Hobbs has a computed screening multiple of 25.0x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 4.0%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: +2.6%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $935
Annual Gross $11,220

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$350
Insurance (~0.5%) -$117
Maintenance (~1%) -$233
Est. Net Cash Flow $235/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Hobbs Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“‰ Downward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$217K2027$198Kโ–ผ 8.9%2028$192Kโ–ผ 11.5%20232024Now
$228K$183K
Current
$280K
2026
Projected
$198K
โ†“ 8.9% by 2027
Projected
$192K
โ†“ 11.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:-2.5%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.59
โ–ผ

For those evaluating the Hobbs housing market forecast through 2028, the data paints a picture of a market in stasis, not collapse. The median home price sits at $219,250, virtually unchanged year-over-year, yet the 5-year price change of -15.7% reveals a significant correction from prior peaks. This stagnation is reflected in a market temperature of 50/100, signaling a balanced environment where neither buyers nor sellers have a distinct advantage. The local economy, heavily tied to the oil and gas industry, has likely capped price growth as energy markets have stabilized. With days on market averaging 35, properties are moving, but without the urgency seen in hotter markets, suggesting that potential buyers are weighing affordability carefully.

When asking "will Hobbs home prices drop" further, the current price-to-rent ratio of 19.5x offers a clue. It sits slightly above the national average, which typically cools investor enthusiasm and nudges potential buyers toward renting, especially with a median rent of $935/mo. This dynamic, coupled with a 5-year CAGR of -3.3%, suggests that significant appreciation isn't imminent. The risk grade of C underscores that while not distressed, the market lacks the strong fundamentals for rapid growth. For those looking at Hobbs real estate Hobbs 2027, the outlook remains neutral; the market is unlikely to see dramatic swings, instead hovering within its recent price range of $197,434 to $245,427.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.5%
5yr CAGR
-2.5%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

67
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Low Inventory

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Months Supply 1.3
Price Drops 34%
Gone in 2 Wks 39%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Hobbs.

Total ROI
-59%
on $55,990 invested
Annual ROI
-16.3%
compounded
Total Return
-$32,972
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,272
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y166kY275kY386kY496kY5107k
Appreciation
$38,336
Cash Flow
-$71,308
Final Equity
$107,450

* Estimates based on 2.6% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Hobbs

Property

Purchase Price$279,950
Monthly Rent$935
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,166
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$13,987/ year
-25.0%
Cash-on-Cash
1.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$935
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,416
โˆ’ Property Tax$280
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$233
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$47
= Net Cash Flow-$1,166

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$55,990
Loan Amount
$223,960
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,101
Gross Yield
4.0%

Investor Toolkit

Research Hobbs before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026