Georgetown
Investment Analysis

Georgetown, KY
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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55
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.0%
Gross Yield
3.4%
P/R Ratio
26.0x
YoY Growth
+3.5%
Median Home Price
$296,750
Average Rent (1BR)
$837/mo
Median Income
$78,373
Population
38,206

Investment Breakdown

22
Value Score
85
Growth Score
75
Safety Score
57
Afford Score

Georgetown has a price-to-rent ratio of 26.0x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 2.0% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +3.5% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $837
Annual Gross $10,044

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$371
Insurance (~0.5%) -$124
Maintenance (~1%) -$247
Est. Net Cash Flow $95/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Georgetown Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$328K2027$354Kโ–ฒ 7.9%2028$372Kโ–ฒ 13.5%20232024Now
$391K$271K
Current
$297K
2026
Projected
$354K
โ†‘ 7.9% by 2027
Projected
$372K
โ†‘ 13.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.1%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.96
โ–ผ

For anyone evaluating the Georgetown housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of normalization rather than explosive growth. The market has cooled considerably from its recent peak, with a current median home price of $296,750 and a flat year-over-year price change of 0.0%. This stagnation follows a robust 5-year run where prices climbed 42.2% at a 7.2% CAGR, indicating the market is now digesting those gains. With a price-to-rent ratio of 29.5xโ€”well above the national average of 18xโ€”the financial case for buying versus renting remains challenging. Properties are still moving at a reasonable pace, with 35 days on market, but the overall market temperature of 50/100 and a C risk grade point to a more balanced environment where buyers have regained leverage.

Looking ahead to Georgetown real estate Georgetown 2027, local economic factors will be pivotal. The areaโ€™s proximity to Lexington and potential spillover growth from the broader central Kentucky economy could provide a floor for prices, but affordability constraints are a significant headwind. With median rent at just $837/month, the rental market offers a compelling alternative, which may cap price appreciation if wages donโ€™t keep pace. This leads to the critical question: will Georgetown home prices drop? A significant decline seems unlikely absent a broader economic downturn, given the areaโ€™s fundamental desirability and recent stability. However, the combination of a high price-to-rent ratio and a neutral market score suggests price growth will likely remain modest, in the low single digits annually.

The core takeaway is one of measured expectations. The buy/rent verdict of RENT reflects the current financial mathematics, where renting preserves capital in a market with elevated price multiples. While the 5-year price range of $230,592 โ€“ $327,880 shows historical resilience, the immediate future points to stability over surges. Buyers should be prepared for a market that rewards patience and negotiation, while current homeowners can feel secure that the areaโ€™s fundamentals are unlikely to see a sharp correction. The outlook for Georgetown is best described as a stable plateau, offering a less frenetic pace than recent years but still grounded by its connection to the larger regional economy.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.8%
5yr CAGR
+7.1%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.0%

Healthcare

66
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 100.1%
Months Supply 1.7
Price Drops 13%
Gone in 2 Wks 53%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Georgetown.

Total ROI
-51%
on $59,350 invested
Annual ROI
-13.1%
compounded
Total Return
-$30,009
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,494
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y172kY285kY399kY4113kY5128k
Appreciation
$55,185
Cash Flow
-$85,194
Final Equity
$128,447

* Estimates based on 3.5% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Georgetown

Property

Purchase Price$296,750
Monthly Rent$837
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,374
Monthly Cash Flow
-$16,493/ year
-27.8%
Cash-on-Cash
0.5%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$837
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,501
โˆ’ Property Tax$297
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$247
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$42
= Net Cash Flow-$1,374

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$59,350
Loan Amount
$237,400
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,211
Gross Yield
3.4%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026