Erie, PA
Housing Market Screening
City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.
City-level screening
Home price / annualized 1BR rent
Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.
Housing Screening Context
Erie has a computed screening multiple of 17.8x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 5.6%.
These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.
Recorded year-over-year price change: +6.1%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.
Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.
Rental Cash Flow Analysis
Monthly Income
Est. Monthly Expenses
Price Forecast 2026โ2028
๐ฎ Erie Price Forecast 2026โ2028
Looking ahead to the 2026-2028 period, the Erie housing market forecast suggests a period of stabilization rather than explosive growth. After a remarkable 5-year price change of 49.2%, the market is showing signs of normalizing. The current median home price of $191,673 and a price-to-rent ratio of 18.4x indicate that while still slightly above the national average, buying remains a relatively accessible entry point compared to larger metropolitan areas. With a market temperature of 69/100, activity is healthy but not frenzied, and the days on market of 21 signals that well-priced homes will still move quickly without the bidding wars seen in hotter markets.
When asking will Erie home prices drop, the data points to modest appreciation rather than a correction. The 4.8% YoY price change reflects a cooling from prior highs, but the risk grade of A and strong affordability fundamentals provide a solid floor. Local economic drivers, including the healthcare sector, manufacturing at Wabtec, and a steady influx of remote workers seeking affordability, will likely underpin demand. However, the neutral buy/rent verdict suggests that potential buyers should carefully evaluate their timeline. For those looking at Erie real estate Erie 2027, the outlook is balanced; expect single-digit appreciation as the market digests recent gains, making it a sustainable environment for long-term residents rather than a speculative hotspot.
Job Market
Healthcare
Risk Factors
Market Activity
Market Position
Similar Markets Compare with cities of similar size & cost
Temple
Hoover
Greenville
Lawrence
Springdale
Showing cities with similar population (46k - 139k) and cost of living index (73 - 110)
ROI Projector Model an editable scenario
Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Erie.
* Estimates based on 6.1% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.
Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow
Rental Cash-Flow Scenario
Pre-filled for Erie
Property
Financing
Expenses
Monthly Breakdown
Scenario Summary
Investor Toolkit
Research Erie before you invest
10 Best Cities to Buy Rental Property in 2026 (ROI Data)
Where landlords earn the highest returns โ rent-to-price ratios that actually make real estate investing work
real estate10 Best Affordable Suburbs in America (2026)
Suburban living without the suburban price tag โ great schools, safe streets, low rent
real estateCan You Buy a House on $40K? These 10 Cities Make It Possible (2026)
Home ownership on a modest salary isn't dead โ you just need to look in the right places
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.
Last updated: July 2026