Springdale
Investment Analysis

Springdale, AR
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
47
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.8%
Gross Yield
3.0%
P/R Ratio
24.4x
YoY Growth
+2.9%
Median Home Price
$364,900
Average Rent (1BR)
$924/mo
Median Income
$68,544
Population
89,394

Investment Breakdown

27
Value Score
79
Growth Score
33
Safety Score
59
Afford Score

Springdale has a price-to-rent ratio of 24.4x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 1.8% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +2.9% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $924
Annual Gross $11,088

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$456
Insurance (~0.5%) -$152
Maintenance (~1%) -$304
Est. Net Cash Flow $12/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Springdale Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$330K2027$361Kโ–ฒ 9.6%2028$381Kโ–ฒ 15.6%20232024Now
$400K$279K
Current
$365K
2026
Projected
$361K
โ†‘ 9.6% by 2027
Projected
$381K
โ†‘ 15.6% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+8.6%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.87
โ–ผ

When evaluating the Springdale housing market forecast through 2028, the data paints a picture of a cooling but resilient market. The current median home price of $329,670 reflects a significant run-up, evidenced by a 52.8% gain over the past five years. However, momentum has clearly slowed, with the yearly appreciation rate decelerating to just 2.7%. This cooling is further emphasized by the 35 days homes currently spend on market, suggesting the frantic pace of recent years is normalizing. For prospective buyers asking will Springdale home prices drop, the answer isn't straightforward. While the 26.9x price-to-rent ratioโ€”well above the national average of 18xโ€”signals stretched affordability, the marketโ€™s A risk grade and steady local economy rooted in food processing and logistics provide a strong buffer against any sharp downturns.

The "rent" verdict for the immediate term is heavily influenced by this affordability gap. With median rent at just $924/month, the financial math strongly favors renting over buying in the short term, especially with a price-to-rent ratio that is nearly 50% higher than the national norm. This dynamic suggests that the market will need to either see prices flatten or rents rise significantly to normalize. For those looking at Springdale real estate Springdale 2027, the outlook is one of modest, single-digit growth rather than the explosive gains seen in the previous five-year CAGR of 8.7%. The local growth in healthcare and manufacturing sectors should support housing demand, but the high price ceiling reached in 2024 will likely act as a ceiling, creating a period of consolidation. The market temperature of 60/100 indicates a balanced shift, moving from a frenzied seller's market toward a more sustainable equilibrium.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.9%
5yr CAGR
+8.6%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.5%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.2%

Healthcare

65
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

High Crime Area

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.3%
Months Supply 4.3
Price Drops 19%
Gone in 2 Wks 37%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Springdale.

Total ROI
-76%
on $72,980 invested
Annual ROI
-24.6%
compounded
Total Return
-$55,249
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,938
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y187kY2101kY3115kY4130kY5146k
Appreciation
$56,070
Cash Flow
-$111,319
Final Equity
$146,157

* Estimates based on 2.9% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Springdale

Property

Purchase Price$364,900
Monthly Rent$924
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,761
Monthly Cash Flow
-$21,136/ year
-29.0%
Cash-on-Cash
0.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$924
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,845
โˆ’ Property Tax$365
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$304
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$46
= Net Cash Flow-$1,761

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$72,980
Loan Amount
$291,920
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,685
Gross Yield
3.0%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026