Springdale
Investment Analysis

Springdale, AR
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

32.9x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
3.0%
Recorded YoY field
+2.9%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$364,900
Average Rent (1BR)
$924/mo
Median Income
$68,544
Population
89,394

Housing Screening Context

Springdale has a computed screening multiple of 32.9x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 3.0%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: +2.9%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $924
Annual Gross $11,088

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$456
Insurance (~0.5%) -$152
Maintenance (~1%) -$304
Est. Net Cash Flow $12/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Springdale Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📈 Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$342K2027$367K 7.3%2028$384K 12.3%20232024Now
$403K$293K
Current
$365K
2026
Projected
$367K
7.3% by 2027
Projected
$384K
12.3% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.4%
Confidence:High
R²:0.89

When evaluating the Springdale housing market forecast through 2028, the data paints a picture of a cooling but resilient market. The current median home price of $329,670 reflects a significant run-up, evidenced by a 52.8% gain over the past five years. However, momentum has clearly slowed, with the yearly appreciation rate decelerating to just 2.7%. This cooling is further emphasized by the 35 days homes currently spend on market, suggesting the frantic pace of recent years is normalizing. For prospective buyers asking will Springdale home prices drop, the answer isn't straightforward. While the 26.9x price-to-rent ratio—well above the national average of 18x—signals stretched affordability, the market’s A risk grade and steady local economy rooted in food processing and logistics provide a strong buffer against any sharp downturns.

The "rent" verdict for the immediate term is heavily influenced by this affordability gap. With median rent at just $924/month, the financial math strongly favors renting over buying in the short term, especially with a price-to-rent ratio that is nearly 50% higher than the national norm. This dynamic suggests that the market will need to either see prices flatten or rents rise significantly to normalize. For those looking at Springdale real estate Springdale 2027, the outlook is one of modest, single-digit growth rather than the explosive gains seen in the previous five-year CAGR of 8.7%. The local growth in healthcare and manufacturing sectors should support housing demand, but the high price ceiling reached in 2024 will likely act as a ceiling, creating a period of consolidation. The market temperature of 60/100 indicates a balanced shift, moving from a frenzied seller's market toward a more sustainable equilibrium.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.9%
5yr CAGR
+7.4%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.5%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.2%

Healthcare

65
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

High Crime Area

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 98.6%
Months Supply 2.8
Price Drops 28%
Gone in 2 Wks 40%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Springdale.

Total ROI
-76%
on $72,980 invested
Annual ROI
-24.6%
compounded
Total Return
-$55,249
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,938
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y187kY2101kY3115kY4130kY5146k
Appreciation
$56,070
Cash Flow
-$111,319
Final Equity
$146,157

* Estimates based on 2.9% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Springdale

Property

Purchase Price$364,900
Monthly Rent$924
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,761
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$21,136/ year
-29.0%
Cash-on-Cash
0.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$924
− Mortgage (P&I)$1,845
− Property Tax$365
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$304
− Vacancy Loss$46
= Net Cash Flow-$1,761

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$72,980
Loan Amount
$291,920
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,685
Gross Yield
3.0%

Investor Toolkit

Research Springdale before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026