Eugene
Investment Analysis

Eugene, OR
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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40
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.5%
Gross Yield
2.6%
P/R Ratio
27.5x
YoY Growth
-0.4%
Median Home Price
$495,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,063/mo
Median Income
$65,663
Population
177,900

Investment Breakdown

18
Value Score
46
Growth Score
66
Safety Score
47
Afford Score

Eugene has a price-to-rent ratio of 27.5x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.5% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -0.4% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,063
Annual Gross $12,756

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$619
Insurance (~0.5%) -$206
Maintenance (~1%) -$413
Est. Net Cash Flow -$175/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Eugene Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$462K2027$489Kโ–ฒ 5.8%2028$501Kโ–ฒ 8.5%20232024Now
$526K$424K
Current
$495K
2026
Projected
$489K
โ†‘ 5.8% by 2027
Projected
$501K
โ†‘ 8.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.5%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.62
โ–ผ

Our Eugene housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic shifts. With the median price at $461,878 and a recent YoY price change of -0.5%, the market is cooling from its post-pandemic highs. This moderation is largely driven by affordability constraints; the price-to-rent ratio sits at 31.3x, significantly above the national average of 18x, which continues to pressure buyers and keep the "Buy/Rent Verdict" firmly at RENT. The 33 days on market indicates properties are still moving, but without the frenetic bidding wars of recent years. For anyone asking "will Eugene home prices drop," the data points to a gentle correction rather than a crash, supported by a 5-year CAGR of 4.8% that reflects a healthier, more sustainable pace.

Looking toward Eugene real estate Eugene 2027, local economic factors will play a crucial role. The University of Oregon and a growing healthcare sector provide a stable employment base, but the city's attractiveness to remote workers has also pushed prices to levels that challenge local incomes. While the risk grade is an A, suggesting a stable investment environment, the market temperature of 65/100 indicates we are shifting from a seller's to a more balanced market. Affordability will remain the central story, potentially capping price growth unless wages see significant increases. The 5-year price range of $364,790 to $464,332 provides a clear band for future valuation. Overall, expect a period of consolidation where price growth aligns more closely with historical norms, offering a less volatile but also less exhilarating environment for homeowners and investors alike.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.6%
5yr CAGR
+4.5%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.8%

Healthcare

79
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.8%
Months Supply 3.2
Price Drops 31%
Gone in 2 Wks 32%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Eugene.

Total ROI
-165%
on $99,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$162,880
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,809
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1103kY2107kY3112kY4117kY5122k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$162,880
Final Equity
$122,206

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Eugene

Property

Purchase Price$495,000
Monthly Rent$1,063
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,526
Monthly Cash Flow
-$30,308/ year
-30.6%
Cash-on-Cash
-0.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,063
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,503
โˆ’ Property Tax$495
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$413
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$53
= Net Cash Flow-$2,526

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$99,000
Loan Amount
$396,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,589
Gross Yield
2.6%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026