Rancho Cucamonga
Investment Analysis

Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
42
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.0%
Gross Yield
3.4%
P/R Ratio
24.7x
YoY Growth
-1.1%
Median Home Price
$752,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,104/mo
Median Income
$103,358
Population
174,403

Investment Breakdown

26
Value Score
39
Growth Score
77
Safety Score
42
Afford Score

Rancho Cucamonga has a price-to-rent ratio of 24.7x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.0% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -1.1% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,104
Annual Gross $25,248

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$940
Insurance (~0.5%) -$313
Maintenance (~1%) -$627
Est. Net Cash Flow $224/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Rancho Cucamonga Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$776K2027$836Kโ–ฒ 7.7%2028$868Kโ–ฒ 11.8%20232024Now
$911K$670K
Current
$752K
2026
Projected
$836K
โ†‘ 7.7% by 2027
Projected
$868K
โ†‘ 11.8% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.8%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.77
โ–ผ

Looking at the Rancho Cucamonga housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of consolidation rather than the rapid appreciation seen in prior years. The current median home price of $776,221 has seen a slight pullback with a -0.9% YoY change, a cooling signal after a robust 34.0% 5-year price surge. While the market remains relatively tight with homes spending only 27 days on the market, affordability constraints are becoming a defining characteristic of the Inland Empire landscape. The local economy, heavily tied to the Ontario logistics hub and regional healthcare, provides a stable employment floor, but high borrowing costs will likely temper buyer enthusiasm through 2027. This environment suggests that Rancho Cucamonga home prices will likely stabilize, with modest single-digit fluctuations rather than a dramatic crash or boom.

The central question for potential buyers is will Rancho Cucamonga home prices drop significantly? The answer lies in the extreme price-to-rent ratio of 27.3x, which is well above the national average and heavily favors renting over buying from a pure investment standpoint. With a "RENT" verdict and a market temperature cooling to 67/100, the incentive for speculative purchasing has diminished. However, the area's enduring appealโ€”top-rated schools, access to the 215 and 10 freeways, and a diverse economic baseโ€”provides a solid floor for values. Even as the 5-year CAGR settles around 5.9%, demand from families seeking suburban stability in Rancho Cucamonga real estate Rancho Cucamonga 2027 will likely prevent any sharp corrections, keeping the market steady but expensive.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.9%
5yr CAGR
+5.8%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.0%
Months Supply 2.5
Price Drops 23%
Gone in 2 Wks 30%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Rancho Cucamonga.

Total ROI
-144%
on $150,400 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$216,956
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,803
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1157kY2163kY3170kY4178kY5186k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$216,956
Final Equity
$185,655

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Rancho Cucamonga

Property

Purchase Price$752,000
Monthly Rent$2,104
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$3,307
Monthly Cash Flow
-$39,689/ year
-26.4%
Cash-on-Cash
0.8%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,104
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$3,803
โˆ’ Property Tax$752
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$627
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$105
= Net Cash Flow-$3,307

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$150,400
Loan Amount
$601,600
Total Monthly Expenses
$5,411
Gross Yield
3.4%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026