Garland
Investment Analysis

Garland, TX
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
42
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.3%
Gross Yield
5.5%
P/R Ratio
14.5x
YoY Growth
-6.3%
Median Home Price
$281,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,291/mo
Median Income
$71,729
Population
243,536

Investment Breakdown

57
Value Score
0
Growth Score
66
Safety Score
47
Afford Score

Garland has a price-to-rent ratio of 14.5x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 3.3% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -6.3% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,291
Annual Gross $15,492

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$351
Insurance (~0.5%) -$117
Maintenance (~1%) -$234
Est. Net Cash Flow $589/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Garland Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$281K2027$319Kโ–ฒ 13.5%2028$329Kโ–ฒ 17.1%20232024Now
$345K$267K
Current
$281K
2026
Projected
$319K
โ†‘ 13.5% by 2027
Projected
$329K
โ†‘ 17.1% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.5%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.41
โ–ผ

For those scrutinizing the Garland housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than explosive growth. With a current median price of $280,621 and a recent YoY price change of -5.6%, the market is clearly cooling off from its pandemic-era highs. However, this correction appears healthy given the area's solid 5-year price change of 26.6%. The local economy, anchored by a diverse manufacturing and logistics sector, provides a stable foundation, though rising inventory levels are giving buyers more leverage than theyโ€™ve had in years. For investors, the Price-to-Rent ratio sits at 16.1x, which is notably more attractive than the national average, suggesting that while appreciation may slow, rental demand should remain robust in this affordability-conscious suburb.

When asking will Garland home prices drop significantly in the near term, the indicators point toward a soft landing rather than a crash. With days on market averaging 41 and a market temperature of 63/100, properties are moving, but without the frantic bidding wars of 2021. The areaโ€™s affordability relative to Dallas proper continues to draw in first-time buyers and families, acting as a price floor. While macroeconomic factors like interest rates remain a wildcard, Garlandโ€™s risk grade of A- signals resilience. Looking toward Garland real estate Garland 2027, expect appreciation to align closer to historical norms, likely hovering in the 2-4% range annually as the market finds equilibrium between buyer demand and available supply.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.0%
5yr CAGR
+4.5%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.2%

Healthcare

70
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.2%
Months Supply 4.9
Price Drops 28%
Gone in 2 Wks 20%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Garland.

Total ROI
-88%
on $56,200 invested
Annual ROI
-34.8%
compounded
Total Return
-$49,601
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$942
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y159kY261kY364kY466kY569k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$49,601
Final Equity
$69,374

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Garland

Property

Purchase Price$281,000
Monthly Rent$1,291
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$835
Monthly Cash Flow
-$10,015/ year
-17.8%
Cash-on-Cash
2.5%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,291
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,421
โˆ’ Property Tax$281
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$234
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$65
= Net Cash Flow-$835

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$56,200
Loan Amount
$224,800
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,126
Gross Yield
5.5%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026