Green River
Investment Analysis

Green River, WY
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
60
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.9%
Gross Yield
3.1%
P/R Ratio
22.3x
YoY Growth
+3.8%
Median Home Price
$355,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$921/mo
Median Income
$85,399
Population
11,679

Investment Breakdown

33
Value Score
88
Growth Score
77
Safety Score
53
Afford Score

Green River has a price-to-rent ratio of 22.3x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 1.9% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +3.8% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $921
Annual Gross $11,052

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$444
Insurance (~0.5%) -$148
Maintenance (~1%) -$296
Est. Net Cash Flow $34/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Green River Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$285K2027$301Kโ–ฒ 5.5%2028$314Kโ–ฒ 9.9%20232024Now
$329K$241K
Current
$355K
2026
Projected
$301K
โ†‘ 5.5% by 2027
Projected
$314K
โ†‘ 9.9% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.1%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.97
โ–ผ

Looking at the Green River housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than rapid growth. With a median home price of $285,180 and a price-to-rent ratio of 22.9x, the market is leaning heavily toward renting, which aligns with the "RENT" verdict. The recent YoY price change of 1.8% indicates cooling momentum compared to the 5-year CAGR of 5.0%, signaling that the era of double-digit gains is likely over. For those asking will Green River home prices drop, the risk grade of A and steady days on market of 35 suggest a floor under prices, but significant appreciation seems unlikely without a shift in local economic fundamentals.

Several local factors will shape the Green River real estate Green River 2027 outlook. The local economy, historically tied to coal and trona mining, faces structural challenges that may limit wage growth and housing demand. However, Green Riverโ€™s proximity to outdoor recreation and relative affordability compared to larger Wyoming cities could provide some support. The 5-year price range of $222,434 โ€“ $288,295 shows resilience, but the current market temperature of 60/100 indicates a balanced, albeit subdued, environment. If interest rates remain elevated, affordability pressures could keep the rental market more attractive than purchasing.

Overall, the forecast points to modest price stability with limited upside potential. While the risk grade suggests safety for long-term holders, the high price-to-rent ratio and slowing growth mean buyers should be cautious. A balanced assessment for 2026-2028 would be a market that holds value but struggles to outperform broader economic trends, with renters likely finding better short-term value than buyers in Green River.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.3%
5yr CAGR
+5.1%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.0%

Healthcare

70
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Inventory

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.5%
Months Supply 6.6
Price Drops 27%
Gone in 2 Wks 18%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Green River.

Total ROI
-48%
on $71,000 invested
Annual ROI
-12.3%
compounded
Total Return
-$34,148
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,864
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y187kY2105kY3122kY4141kY5160k
Appreciation
$72,775
Cash Flow
-$106,923
Final Equity
$160,418

* Estimates based on 3.8% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Green River

Property

Purchase Price$355,000
Monthly Rent$921
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,696
Monthly Cash Flow
-$20,351/ year
-28.7%
Cash-on-Cash
0.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$921
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,795
โˆ’ Property Tax$355
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$296
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$46
= Net Cash Flow-$1,696

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$71,000
Loan Amount
$284,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,617
Gross Yield
3.1%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026