Belgrade
Investment Analysis

Belgrade, MT
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
27
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.6%
Gross Yield
2.6%
P/R Ratio
38.0x
YoY Growth
-2.2%
Median Home Price
$499,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,081/mo
Median Income
$88,896
Population
11,425

Investment Breakdown

0
Value Score
28
Growth Score
53
Safety Score
47
Afford Score

Belgrade has a price-to-rent ratio of 38.0x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.6% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -2.2% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,081
Annual Gross $12,972

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$624
Insurance (~0.5%) -$208
Maintenance (~1%) -$416
Est. Net Cash Flow -$167/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Belgrade Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$537K2027$578Kโ–ฒ 7.6%2028$593Kโ–ฒ 10.5%20232024Now
$623K$489K
Current
$499K
2026
Projected
$578K
โ†‘ 7.6% by 2027
Projected
$593K
โ†‘ 10.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.2%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.48
โ–ผ

Our Belgrade housing market forecast for 2026-2028 points toward a period of stabilization rather than dramatic movement. After a five-year run-up of 32.0% and a recent slight pullback of -2.2%, the market is finding its footing. Belgrade's unique position as a Bozeman satellite community, offering more attainable (though still stretched) prices, will likely keep it relevant for commuters priced out of the core. However, the current Price-to-Rent Ratio of 36.8x signals that purchasing a home is a significant financial stretch compared to leasing, which will cap buyer enthusiasm in the near term.

When asking will Belgrade home prices drop, the data suggests a flat to modestly appreciating trajectory. The Market Temperature of 46/100 and 95 Days on Market indicate a balanced environment, not a fire sale. Key local factors include the continued strength of the Gallatin Valley economy and potential interest rate stabilization, which could bring sidelined buyers back. However, affordability constraints will remain a headwind. For those analyzing Belgrade real estate Belgrade 2027 and beyond, the Risk Grade of A- signals a solid long-term hold, but the "RENT" verdict for now suggests that immediate returns on investment are likely to be muted. The outlook is one of steady, single-digit growth rather than explosive gains.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.4%
5yr CAGR
+5.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.6%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.0%

Healthcare

71
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Months Supply 5.8
Price Drops 15%
Gone in 2 Wks 26%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Belgrade.

Total ROI
-164%
on $99,800 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$163,610
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,823
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1104kY2108kY3113kY4118kY5123k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$163,610
Final Equity
$123,194

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Belgrade

Property

Purchase Price$499,000
Monthly Rent$1,081
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,536
Monthly Cash Flow
-$30,433/ year
-30.5%
Cash-on-Cash
-0.0%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,081
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,523
โˆ’ Property Tax$499
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$416
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$54
= Net Cash Flow-$2,536

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$99,800
Loan Amount
$399,200
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,617
Gross Yield
2.6%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026