Kennewick
Investment Analysis

Kennewick, WA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
45
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.1%
Gross Yield
3.5%
P/R Ratio
23.7x
YoY Growth
-0.2%
Median Home Price
$415,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,206/mo
Median Income
$65,796
Population
85,155

Investment Breakdown

29
Value Score
48
Growth Score
63
Safety Score
51
Afford Score

Kennewick has a price-to-rent ratio of 23.7x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.1% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -0.2% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,206
Annual Gross $14,472

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$519
Insurance (~0.5%) -$173
Maintenance (~1%) -$346
Est. Net Cash Flow $169/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Kennewick Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$422K2027$452Kโ–ฒ 7.0%2028$466Kโ–ฒ 10.3%20232024Now
$489K$383K
Current
$415K
2026
Projected
$452K
โ†‘ 7.0% by 2027
Projected
$466K
โ†‘ 10.3% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.8%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.67
โ–ผ

Looking at the Kennewick housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic growth. With the median home price at $422,141 and a recent YoY price change of -0.3%, the market has cooled from its post-pandemic highs. The 5-year CAGR of 5.0% indicates healthy, albeit moderating, appreciation. For potential buyers asking if will Kennewick home prices drop significantly, the Risk Grade of A and the 51 days on market signal resilience; a sharp crash seems unlikely, but the era of double-digit gains appears over. The local economy, anchored by the Tri-Citiesโ€™ stable healthcare, agricultural, and nuclear sectors, provides a floor for prices, though affordability remains a growing concern for residents.

The affordability crunch is most evident in the Price-to-Rent Ratio of 26.2x, which is notably higher than the national average of 18x. With median rent at $1,206/mo, the math currently favors renting over buying for those not planning to stay long-term, justifying the "RENT" verdict for investors or short-term residents. For the broader Kennewick real estate Kennewick 2027 outlook, inventory levels and wage growth in the local tech and logistics sectors will be the key drivers. If wages fail to keep pace with the rising cost of ownership, price growth could stagnate further.

Overall, the market temperature sits at 60/100, pointing to a balanced environment that slightly favors buyers compared to the frenzy of 2021-2022. While the 5-year price range of $330,003 โ€“ $423,556 shows a broad floor for the market, the high price-to-rent ratio suggests values are stretched relative to local incomes. Expect a slow grind upward through 2028, driven by population inflows but capped by affordability limits. Investors should look for cash-flow opportunities, while homeowners should expect modest, steady appreciation rather than explosive growth.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.0%
5yr CAGR
+4.8%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.0%

Healthcare

80
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.1%
Months Supply 4.2
Price Drops 18%
Gone in 2 Wks 14%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Kennewick.

Total ROI
-141%
on $83,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$116,932
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,056
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y186kY290kY394kY498kY5102k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$116,932
Final Equity
$102,456

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Kennewick

Property

Purchase Price$415,000
Monthly Rent$1,206
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,839
Monthly Cash Flow
-$22,063/ year
-26.6%
Cash-on-Cash
0.8%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,206
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,098
โˆ’ Property Tax$415
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$346
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$60
= Net Cash Flow-$1,839

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$83,000
Loan Amount
$332,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,045
Gross Yield
3.5%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026