South Jordan
Investment Analysis

South Jordan, UT
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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43
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.5%
Gross Yield
2.6%
P/R Ratio
33.5x
YoY Growth
+1.9%
Median Home Price
$605,745
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,301/mo
Median Income
$126,974
Population
84,508

Investment Breakdown

0
Value Score
69
Growth Score
77
Safety Score
54
Afford Score

South Jordan has a price-to-rent ratio of 33.5x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.5% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +1.9% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,301
Annual Gross $15,612

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$757
Insurance (~0.5%) -$252
Maintenance (~1%) -$505
Est. Net Cash Flow -$213/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ South Jordan Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$654K2027$674Kโ–ฒ 3.0%2028$688Kโ–ฒ 5.2%20232024Now
$723K$591K
Current
$606K
2026
Projected
$674K
โ†‘ 3.0% by 2027
Projected
$688K
โ†‘ 5.2% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.5%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.36
โ–ผ

Looking at the South Jordan housing market forecast through 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of normalization rather than explosive growth. With a current median home price of $654,391 and a price-to-rent ratio of 37.3x, the market is significantly stretched compared to the national average, making buying less attractive than renting. The recent YoY price change of just 1.5% signals a sharp cooldown from the 5-year CAGR of 5.8%, indicating that affordability ceilings are being tested. While the 5-year price change remains strong at 33.1%, the low market temperature of 59/100 and the "RENT" verdict highlight that the era of rapid appreciation is likely over for now.

For those asking will South Jordan home prices drop, the local economic fundamentals provide some support against a major correction. South Jordan benefits from its position within the booming Salt Lake County tech corridor and strong school districts, which continue to attract families despite higher rates. However, the days on market have crept up to 54, suggesting sellers must now price competitively. Affordability remains the primary headwind; as interest rates remain elevated, the pool of buyers able to service debt on a $654,391 median price point shrinks. This dynamic will likely keep price appreciation muted, with the South Jordan real estate South Jordan 2027 outlook leaning toward stability rather than growth.

The risk grade of A is a crucial counterbalance to the high price-to-rent ratio. It suggests that while the market may be expensive, the underlying credit quality and economic stability of the area remain high, mitigating the risk of a crash. We are unlikely to see a collapse in values due to persistent demand and limited inventory in the region. Instead, expect a flat to modestly appreciating trajectory where the market digests the rapid gains of the past five years. The forecast points toward a balanced market where buyers regain some leverage, but sellers with realistic expectations can still transact successfully.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.4%
5yr CAGR
+5.5%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.5%

Healthcare

81
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.9%
Months Supply 6.1
Price Drops 28%
Gone in 2 Wks 16%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for South Jordan.

Total ROI
-115%
on $121,149 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$139,535
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,438
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1138kY2155kY3172kY4190kY5209k
Appreciation
$59,774
Cash Flow
-$199,310
Final Equity
$209,322

* Estimates based on 1.9% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for South Jordan

Property

Purchase Price$605,745
Monthly Rent$1,301
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$3,063
Monthly Cash Flow
-$36,751/ year
-30.3%
Cash-on-Cash
0.0%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,301
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$3,063
โˆ’ Property Tax$606
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$505
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$65
= Net Cash Flow-$3,063

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$121,149
Loan Amount
$484,596
Total Monthly Expenses
$4,364
Gross Yield
2.6%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026