Knik-Fairview CDP
Investment Analysis

Knik-Fairview CDP, AK
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

27.2x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
3.7%
Recorded YoY field
Not available

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$426,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,306/mo
Median Income
$95,000
Population
18,921

Housing Screening Context

Knik-Fairview CDP has a computed screening multiple of 27.2x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 3.7%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: Not available. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,306
Annual Gross $15,672

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$533
Insurance (~0.5%) -$178
Maintenance (~1%) -$355
Est. Net Cash Flow $241/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Knik-Fairview CDP Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$422K2027$427Kโ–ฒ 1.2%2028$442Kโ–ฒ 4.7%20232024Now
$464K$352K
Current
$426K
2026
Projected
$427K
โ†‘ 1.2% by 2027
Projected
$442K
โ†‘ 4.7% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.2%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.95
โ–ผ

For those evaluating a Knik-Fairview CDP housing market forecast, the current data suggests a period of price stabilization and modest growth through 2026-2028. The area's median home price of $311,800 sits against a backdrop of a 0.0% year-over-year change, indicating the market has paused after a robust 5-year run that saw prices climb 31.2%. The price-to-rent ratio of 19.9x slightly exceeds the national average, which may cool investor enthusiasm but underscores the continued appeal of homeownership for long-term residents. With a market temperature of 50/100 and a risk grade of C, this is not a speculative environment but rather one for steady, calculated investment, heavily influenced by the broader Alaska economy and local job stability in sectors like logistics and healthcare.

Considering whether will Knik-Fairview CDP home prices drop, the current 35-day average on market and neutral buy/rent verdict point to equilibrium rather than a downturn. Affordability remains a key local factor; while prices have held steady, any significant dip is likely to be offset by sustained demand from the Mat-Su Valley's growing population seeking value compared to Anchorage. For those looking at the Knik-Fairview CDP real estate Knik-Fairview CDP 2027 outlook, the projected 5.5% CAGR provides a realistic baseline for appreciation, assuming no major economic shocks. Growth will likely be tempered by interest rates and regional economic performance, but the area's fundamental desirability as a more affordable, semi-rural community should prevent any drastic corrections, making it a stable, if not spectacular, holding for the foreseeable future.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.3%
5yr CAGR
+5.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) -0.5%

Healthcare

68
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Low Inventory

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 102.1%
Months Supply 1.9
Price Drops 22%
Gone in 2 Wks 47%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Knik-Fairview CDP.

Total ROI
-136%
on $85,200 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$115,790
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,046
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y189kY292kY396kY4101kY5105k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$115,790
Final Equity
$105,171

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Knik-Fairview CDP

Property

Purchase Price$426,000
Monthly Rent$1,306
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,819
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$21,833/ year
-25.6%
Cash-on-Cash
0.9%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,306
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,154
โˆ’ Property Tax$426
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$355
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$65
= Net Cash Flow-$1,819

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$85,200
Loan Amount
$340,800
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,125
Gross Yield
3.7%

Investor Toolkit

Research Knik-Fairview CDP before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026