Lake Charles
Investment Analysis

Lake Charles, LA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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62
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.0%
Gross Yield
4.9%
P/R Ratio
15.3x
YoY Growth
+4.4%
Median Home Price
$205,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$840/mo
Median Income
$55,420
Population
79,647

Investment Breakdown

54
Value Score
94
Growth Score
36
Safety Score
63
Afford Score

Lake Charles has a price-to-rent ratio of 15.3x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 3.0% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +4.4% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $840
Annual Gross $10,080

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$256
Insurance (~0.5%) -$85
Maintenance (~1%) -$171
Est. Net Cash Flow $328/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Lake Charles Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“‰ Downward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$195K2027$185Kโ–ผ 5.5%2028$180Kโ–ผ 7.7%20232024Now
$213K$171K
Current
$205K
2026
Projected
$185K
โ†“ 5.5% by 2027
Projected
$180K
โ†“ 7.7% by 2028
5yr CAGR:-1.4%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.69
โ–ผ

Our Lake Charles housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic swings. With a current median home price of $195,342 and a price-to-rent ratio of 17.0x, the market presents a relatively affordable landscape compared to national averages. The recent 4.5% YoY price change indicates a modest recovery, but it's crucial to note the five-year price change of -7.3%, highlighting the lingering effects of past economic headwinds. This context is vital when asking, will Lake Charles home prices drop? The data points toward a balanced environment, with the market temperature at a neutral 51/100 and a strong risk grade of A-, suggesting that while rapid appreciation is unlikely, a significant downturn is also improbable.

Looking toward the Lake Charles real estate Lake Charles 2027 outlook, the local economy's diversification will be key. The area's traditional ties to the petrochemical industry and recovery from past hurricanes create a unique dynamic. An inventory of homes sitting for an average of 79 days on the market suggests buyers have some leverage, but the solid rental yield (median rent $840/mo) will support investor interest. Affordability remains a draw, but wage growth and new job creation are necessary catalysts for a stronger upward trajectory. The neutral "Buy/Rent" verdict underscores this cautious optimism, positioning the market for steady, incremental growth rather than a boom or bust cycle through 2028.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.4%
5yr CAGR
-1.4%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.3%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.8%

Healthcare

63
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

High Crime Area

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 94.1%
Months Supply 5.8
Price Drops 23%
Gone in 2 Wks 10%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Lake Charles.

Total ROI
15%
on $41,000 invested
Annual ROI
2.9%
compounded
Total Return
$6,227
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$784
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y152kY263kY374kY487kY599k
Appreciation
$48,761
Cash Flow
-$42,534
Final Equity
$99,371

* Estimates based on 4.4% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Lake Charles

Property

Purchase Price$205,000
Monthly Rent$840
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$739
Monthly Cash Flow
-$8,873/ year
-21.6%
Cash-on-Cash
1.7%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$840
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,037
โˆ’ Property Tax$205
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$171
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$42
= Net Cash Flow-$739

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$41,000
Loan Amount
$164,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,579
Gross Yield
4.9%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026