Pharr
Investment Analysis

Pharr, TX
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

14.8x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
6.8%
Recorded YoY field
-2.6%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$190,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,070/mo
Median Income
$57,171
Population
80,409

Housing Screening Context

Pharr has a computed screening multiple of 14.8x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 6.8%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: -2.6%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,070
Annual Gross $12,840

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$238
Insurance (~0.5%) -$79
Maintenance (~1%) -$158
Est. Net Cash Flow $595/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Pharr Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$165K2027$187Kโ–ฒ 12.8%2028$195Kโ–ฒ 17.7%20232024Now
$204K$154K
Current
$190K
2026
Projected
$187K
โ†‘ 12.8% by 2027
Projected
$195K
โ†‘ 17.7% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.4%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.71
โ–ผ

For anyone evaluating the Pharr housing market forecast through 2028, the data paints a picture of affordability and stability rather than explosive growth. With a current median home price of $160,914 and a price-to-rent ratio of just 11.1x, well below the national average, the market remains attractive for both investors and first-time buyers. The recent -2.4% YoY price change suggests a cooling period after a strong 5-year run that saw prices climb 39.7% (a 6.8% CAGR). However, a 35-day average on market and a "BUY" verdict indicate underlying demand persists. Local economic factors, including Pharr's role as a logistics hub near the Pharr-Reynosa International Bridge, should support steady, albeit modest, appreciation as cross-border trade continues to be a key regional driver.

When asking, "will Pharr home prices drop," the answer likely points toward stabilization rather than a significant decline. The market temperature of 60/100 and an "A" risk grade suggest a balanced environment that is resilient to the volatility seen in hotter markets. Affordability is Pharr's strongest asset; with median rent at $1,070/mo, the cost of ownership remains accessible compared to national norms, which should prevent any drastic price corrections. As we look toward Pharr real estate Pharr 2027, growth will likely be driven by continued regional population migration and the city's infrastructure development. While the era of rapid appreciation may be moderating, the combination of low entry prices and strong rental demand creates a foundation for sustainable gains.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
4.3%
5yr CAGR
+5.4%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.2%

Healthcare

70
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 94.6%
Months Supply 9.4
Price Drops 14%
Gone in 2 Wks 19%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Pharr.

Total ROI
-56%
on $38,000 invested
Annual ROI
-15.1%
compounded
Total Return
-$21,252
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$449
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y140kY241kY343kY445kY547k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$21,252
Final Equity
$46,907

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Pharr

Property

Purchase Price$190,000
Monthly Rent$1,070
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$418
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$5,011/ year
-13.2%
Cash-on-Cash
3.4%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,070
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$961
โˆ’ Property Tax$190
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$158
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$54
= Net Cash Flow-$418

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$38,000
Loan Amount
$152,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,488
Gross Yield
6.8%

Investor Toolkit

Research Pharr before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026