Montgomery
Investment Analysis

Montgomery, AL
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

20.5x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
4.9%
Recorded YoY field
+0.0%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$225,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$913/mo
Median Income
$57,300
Population
195,275

Housing Screening Context

Montgomery has a computed screening multiple of 20.5x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 4.9%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: +0.0%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $913
Annual Gross $10,956

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$281
Insurance (~0.5%) -$94
Maintenance (~1%) -$188
Est. Net Cash Flow $351/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Montgomery Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📈 Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$153K2027$161K 5.7%2028$166K 8.8%20232024Now
$174K$141K
Current
$225K
2026
Projected
$161K
5.7% by 2027
Projected
$166K
8.8% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.6%
Confidence:Moderate
R²:0.72

For anyone evaluating a Montgomery housing market forecast through 2028, the current metrics suggest a stable, affordability-driven environment. The median home price sits at $145,279, with a price-to-rent ratio of 12.1x—significantly below the national average of 18x—which strongly supports the BUY verdict. While the recent YoY price change is modest at 0.2%, the 5-year CAGR of 5.4% demonstrates consistent, sustainable growth rather than speculative frenzy. With days on market at 45, the pace is deliberate, giving buyers room to negotiate without the intense pressure seen in hotter markets. This stability is anchored by Montgomery’s role as a government and military hub, providing a steady employment base that insulates the market from drastic volatility.

When asking will Montgomery home prices drop, the data points to resilience rather than decline. The market temperature of 62/100 and an A risk grade indicate a balanced, low-risk environment. Affordability remains a key driver, supported by median rent at $913/mo, which keeps ownership accessible for a broad demographic. Looking ahead to Montgomery real estate Montgomery 2027, ongoing infrastructure investments and the expansion of aerospace and manufacturing sectors could provide incremental price support. However, with a 5-year price range of $111,033 – $145,366, growth is likely to remain measured. The absence of rapid appreciation suggests prices won’t spike, but the strong fundamentals make a significant drop unlikely.

Overall, the outlook for 2026-2028 is one of steady, incremental gains rather than explosive growth. The combination of affordability, a stable job market, and a healthy price-to-rent ratio creates a foundation for continued buyer interest. While external factors like interest rates or broader economic shifts could introduce headwinds, Montgomery’s market is positioned to weather such challenges better than more volatile regions. Investors and homeowners should expect moderate appreciation, with the market favoring long-term holders over short-term flippers. The key takeaway is that Montgomery offers a low-risk, value-oriented opportunity, with prices likely to trend upward at a pace aligned with historical norms rather than dramatic swings.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
4.2%
5yr CAGR
+4.6%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.1%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.8%

Healthcare

72
Score
Good

Risk Factors

High Crime Area

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 95.8%
Months Supply 4.6
Price Drops 23%
Gone in 2 Wks 29%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Montgomery.

Total ROI
-104%
on $45,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$46,791
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$869
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y147kY249kY351kY454kY556k
Appreciation
$450
Cash Flow
-$47,242
Final Equity
$55,999

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Montgomery

Property

Purchase Price$225,000
Monthly Rent$913
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$808
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$9,694/ year
-21.5%
Cash-on-Cash
1.8%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$913
− Mortgage (P&I)$1,138
− Property Tax$225
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$188
− Vacancy Loss$46
= Net Cash Flow-$808

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$45,000
Loan Amount
$180,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,721
Gross Yield
4.9%

Investor Toolkit

Research Montgomery before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026