Orlando
Investment Analysis

Orlando, FL
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

20.4x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
4.9%
Recorded YoY field
-4.2%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$400,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,638/mo
Median Income
$69,414
Population
320,753

Housing Screening Context

Orlando has a computed screening multiple of 20.4x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 4.9%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: -4.2%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,638
Annual Gross $19,656

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$500
Insurance (~0.5%) -$167
Maintenance (~1%) -$333
Est. Net Cash Flow $638/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Orlando Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$376K2027$417Kโ–ฒ 10.9%2028$430Kโ–ฒ 14.4%20232024Now
$452K$357K
Current
$400K
2026
Projected
$417K
โ†‘ 10.9% by 2027
Projected
$430K
โ†‘ 14.4% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.0%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.47
โ–ผ

For anyone looking at the Orlando housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than rapid acceleration. With a median home price of $367,867 and a recent YoY price change of -3.9%, the market is clearly cooling from the post-pandemic frenzy. However, this correction should be viewed against a strong 5-year price change of 37.1%, indicating that values have retained significant gains. The current market temperature of 61/100 and a risk grade of A signal a healthy, albeit more normalized, environment. Potential buyers asking "will Orlando home prices drop" further must consider the city's robust economic fundamentals, including continued job growth in tourism and tech, which should put a floor under prices despite higher borrowing costs.

From an investment perspective, the price-to-rent ratio of 17.5x remains slightly below the national average, supporting a neutral buy/rent verdict. With median rent at $1,638/mo, the income-generating potential is attracting investors who believe in Orlando's long-term population growth. Days on market have extended to 46, giving buyers more negotiating power than in previous years. Looking ahead to Orlando real estate Orlando 2027, affordability will be the key driver; while new construction may ease supply constraints, demand from domestic migration and international buyers will likely prevent any drastic price declines. The 5-year CAGR of 6.4% offers a realistic baseline for expectations, suggesting steady appreciation rather than volatility. Ultimately, the forecast points to a balanced market where well-priced homes in desirable school districts will hold value, while overpriced properties may see further softening.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.9%
5yr CAGR
+5%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.5%

Healthcare

74
Score
Good

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 97.0%
Months Supply 4.1
Price Drops 32%
Gone in 2 Wks 34%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Orlando.

Total ROI
-104%
on $80,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$83,057
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,530
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y183kY287kY391kY494kY599k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$83,057
Final Equity
$98,753

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Orlando

Property

Purchase Price$400,000
Monthly Rent$1,638
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,325
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$15,898/ year
-19.9%
Cash-on-Cash
2.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,638
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,023
โˆ’ Property Tax$400
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$333
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$82
= Net Cash Flow-$1,325

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$80,000
Loan Amount
$320,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,963
Gross Yield
4.9%

Investor Toolkit

Research Orlando before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026