Pasco
Investment Analysis

Pasco, WA
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

21.7x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
4.6%
Recorded YoY field
-0.6%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$425,460
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,633/mo
Median Income
$84,337
Population
81,415

Housing Screening Context

Pasco has a computed screening multiple of 21.7x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 4.6%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: -0.6%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,633
Annual Gross $19,596

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$532
Insurance (~0.5%) -$177
Maintenance (~1%) -$355
Est. Net Cash Flow $569/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Pasco Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$422K2027$444Kโ–ฒ 5.2%2028$453Kโ–ฒ 7.5%20232024Now
$476K$393K
Current
$425K
2026
Projected
$444K
โ†‘ 5.2% by 2027
Projected
$453K
โ†‘ 7.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+3.6%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.59
โ–ผ

For those evaluating the Pasco housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of normalization rather than the rapid appreciation seen in prior years. With a median home price of $411,117 and a recent YoY price change of -0.8%, the market is clearly cooling from its post-pandemic highs. However, long-term fundamentals remain solid, evidenced by a 5-year price change of 30.5%. The question of will Pasco home prices drop significantly is tempered by affordability metrics; the price-to-rent ratio at 18.6x sits only slightly above the national average, suggesting that the rental market provides a stable floor for valuations. While the market temperature of 62/100 indicates a shift toward balance, Pascoโ€™s risk grade of A implies that any downturn will likely be shallow and manageable.

Looking toward Pasco real estate Pasco 2027, the outlook is one of steady, incremental growth driven by local economic fundamentals. The Tri-Cities region continues to benefit from stable employment in agriculture, logistics, and the nearby Hanford site, which supports housing demand despite broader economic headwinds. With Days on Market averaging 43, inventory is moving at a healthy pace, preventing a drastic accumulation of unsold homes that could trigger sharp price declines. While the 5-year CAGR of 5.4% may compress slightly in this forecast window, the neutral buy/rent verdict suggests that market entry remains a viable long-term strategy. Overall, Pasco appears poised for a period of stability, balancing its high growth potential against current affordability constraints, making it a market defined by resilience rather than volatility.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.7%
5yr CAGR
+3.6%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.0%

Healthcare

80
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 100.0%
Months Supply 2.6
Price Drops 37%
Gone in 2 Wks 23%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Pasco.

Total ROI
-112%
on $85,092 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$95,155
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,731
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y189kY292kY396kY4101kY5105k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$95,155
Final Equity
$105,038

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Pasco

Property

Purchase Price$425,460
Monthly Rent$1,633
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,505
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$18,060/ year
-21.2%
Cash-on-Cash
1.8%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,633
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,151
โˆ’ Property Tax$425
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$355
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$82
= Net Cash Flow-$1,505

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$85,092
Loan Amount
$340,368
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,138
Gross Yield
4.6%

Investor Toolkit

Research Pasco before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026