Pearl City CDP
Investment Analysis

Pearl City CDP, HI
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

35.7x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
2.8%
Recorded YoY field
+0.9%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$872,200
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,038/mo
Median Income
$114,682
Population
45,079

Housing Screening Context

Pearl City CDP has a computed screening multiple of 35.7x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 2.8%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: +0.9%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,038
Annual Gross $24,456

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$1,090
Insurance (~0.5%) -$363
Maintenance (~1%) -$727
Est. Net Cash Flow -$143/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Pearl City CDP Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$941K2027$956Kโ–ฒ 1.6%2028$968Kโ–ฒ 2.8%20232024Now
$1M$868K
Current
$872K
2026
Projected
$956K
โ†‘ 1.6% by 2027
Projected
$968K
โ†‘ 2.8% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+2.6%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.23
โ–ผ

Looking at the Pearl City CDP housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than rapid appreciation. The current median home price sits at $872,200, with year-over-year price change at a flat 0.0%, indicating a market that has hit an affordability ceiling. With days on market averaging 35, properties are moving, but without the urgency seen in hotter periods. The 5-year price change of 22.4% and a CAGR of 4.1% show solid historical gains, but the recent stall points to a cooling phase. For anyone asking will Pearl City CDP home prices drop, the current stagnation suggests a potential soft landing rather than a sharp correction, barring major economic shocks.

The affordability challenge is stark, highlighted by a price-to-rent ratio of 35.7x, far above the national average of 18x. This imbalance, combined with a market temperature of 50/100 and a Risk Grade of C, underpins the BUY/RENT verdict favoring RENT. Local factors, including Hawaii's constrained land availability and high cost of living, continue to support prices but limit buyer pool growth. For the Pearl City CDP real estate Pearl City CDP 2027 outlook, we expect modest price fluctuations within the recent range of $749,691 to $949,551. The market will likely remain sensitive to interest rate movements and local job market health, with appreciation tied to broader economic recovery rather than speculative demand.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.6%
5yr CAGR
+2.6%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.9%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.1%

Healthcare

88
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Low Inventory

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Pearl City CDP.

Total ROI
-136%
on $174,440 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$237,204
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$4,793
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1189kY2205kY3221kY4238kY5255k
Appreciation
$39,510
Cash Flow
-$276,714
Final Equity
$254,840

* Estimates based on 0.9% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Pearl City CDP

Property

Purchase Price$872,200
Monthly Rent$2,038
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$4,198
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$50,379/ year
-28.9%
Cash-on-Cash
0.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,038
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$4,410
โˆ’ Property Tax$872
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$727
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$102
= Net Cash Flow-$4,198

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$174,440
Loan Amount
$697,760
Total Monthly Expenses
$6,236
Gross Yield
2.8%

Investor Toolkit

Research Pearl City CDP before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026