Pocatello
Investment Analysis

Pocatello, ID
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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46
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.7%
Gross Yield
2.9%
P/R Ratio
27.8x
YoY Growth
+0.2%
Median Home Price
$310,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$751/mo
Median Income
$57,931
Population
57,152

Investment Breakdown

17
Value Score
52
Growth Score
76
Safety Score
62
Afford Score

Pocatello has a price-to-rent ratio of 27.8x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.7% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +0.2% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $751
Annual Gross $9,012

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$388
Insurance (~0.5%) -$129
Maintenance (~1%) -$258
Est. Net Cash Flow -$24/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Pocatello Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$330K2027$356Kโ–ฒ 8.0%2028$370Kโ–ฒ 12.4%20232024Now
$389K$289K
Current
$310K
2026
Projected
$356K
โ†‘ 8.0% by 2027
Projected
$370K
โ†‘ 12.4% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.2%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.72
โ–ผ

For those eyeing the Pocatello housing market forecast through 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic shifts. With a median home price of $329,761 and a recent YoY price change of -0.2%, the rapid appreciation seen over the last five yearsโ€”totaling 44.9%โ€”is clearly losing steam. The current market temperature of 59/100 and a price-to-rent ratio of 31.6x (well above the national average of 18x) signal that buying is expensive relative to renting, which aligns with the "RENT" verdict. For potential buyers asking if Pocatello home prices will drop, the answer is likely a soft plateau rather than a crash, supported by the area's strong "A" risk grade and the 5-year CAGR of 7.6%.

Looking toward Pocatello real estate in 2027, several local factors will dictate the path forward. Idaho State University provides a stable employment anchor, but broader affordability challenges will likely cap price growth. With days on market averaging 53, the pace is balanced, neither flying off the shelf nor sitting stagnant. The price range over the last five years, from $227,567 to $330,408, shows a ceiling that may be difficult to break without a significant boost in local wages or a drop in interest rates. While the median rent of $751/mo remains attractive, the high price-to-rent ratio suggests prices have run ahead of fundamentals. Ultimately, the forecast for 2026-2028 points to a cooling period where stability replaces volatility, offering a more sustainable environment for both residents and long-term investors.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.6%
5yr CAGR
+7.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.8%

Healthcare

73
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Months Supply 4.5
Price Drops 21%
Gone in 2 Wks 28%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Pocatello.

Total ROI
-151%
on $62,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$93,733
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,678
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y165kY268kY372kY476kY579k
Appreciation
$2,956
Cash Flow
-$96,689
Final Equity
$79,489

* Estimates based on 0.2% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Pocatello

Property

Purchase Price$310,000
Monthly Rent$751
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,547
Monthly Cash Flow
-$18,569/ year
-29.9%
Cash-on-Cash
0.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$751
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,568
โˆ’ Property Tax$310
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$258
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$38
= Net Cash Flow-$1,547

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$62,000
Loan Amount
$248,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,298
Gross Yield
2.9%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026