Grand Forks
Investment Analysis

Grand Forks, ND
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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60
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.2%
Gross Yield
3.6%
P/R Ratio
25.4x
YoY Growth
+7.2%
Median Home Price
$243,300
Average Rent (1BR)
$736/mo
Median Income
$63,838
Population
58,882

Investment Breakdown

24
Value Score
100
Growth Score
68
Safety Score
64
Afford Score

Grand Forks has a price-to-rent ratio of 25.4x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 2.2% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +7.2% shows strong appreciation momentum.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $736
Annual Gross $8,832

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$304
Insurance (~0.5%) -$101
Maintenance (~1%) -$203
Est. Net Cash Flow $128/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Grand Forks Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$282K2027$283Kโ–ฒ 0.3%2028$292Kโ–ฒ 3.6%20232024Now
$307K$231K
Current
$243K
2026
Projected
$283K
โ†‘ 0.3% by 2027
Projected
$292K
โ†‘ 3.6% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.6%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.93
โ–ผ

When evaluating the Grand Forks housing market forecast through 2028, the data paints a picture of stability rather than explosive growth. The median home price sits at $281,709, reflecting a steady 5-year CAGR of 4.5% and a recent YoY change of 6.6%. With a Price-to-Rent Ratio of 28.2x, significantly above the national average of 18x, the market is heavily tilted toward renting. This is further emphasized by the "RENT" verdict, driven by the local affordability challenges and the fact that the median rent of $736/mo provides a much lower barrier to entry than homeownership. For potential buyers, the key question of "will Grand Forks home prices drop" is complex; while the risk grade of A suggests stability, the high price-to-rent ratio indicates limited upside for investors relying on rental income.

The local economy, anchored by the University of North Dakota and Grand Forks Air Force Base, provides a consistent demand floor that prevents drastic declines. However, with Days on Market at just 29, sellers still hold leverage, keeping the market temperature at a moderate 66/100. As we look toward Grand Forks real estate Grand Forks 2027, affordability will remain the primary constraint. While a significant crash is unlikely due to the area's economic bedrock, appreciation is expected to normalize closer to the 5-year historical average rather than accelerating. The market's health is solid, but the high entry cost relative to rental prices may suppress buyer enthusiasm, leading to a period of consolidation rather than rapid appreciation. This balanced outlook suggests that while Grand Forks remains a safe market, it is not necessarily the most lucrative for short-term equity growth compared to more dynamic regions.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.9%
5yr CAGR
+4.6%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.8%

Healthcare

75
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Grand Forks.

Total ROI
69%
on $48,660 invested
Annual ROI
11.1%
compounded
Total Return
$33,753
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,178
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y168kY289kY3111kY4135kY5161k
Appreciation
$100,500
Cash Flow
-$66,747
Final Equity
$160,566

* Estimates based on 7.2% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Grand Forks

Property

Purchase Price$243,300
Monthly Rent$736
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,102
Monthly Cash Flow
-$13,225/ year
-27.2%
Cash-on-Cash
0.6%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$736
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,230
โˆ’ Property Tax$243
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$203
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$37
= Net Cash Flow-$1,102

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$48,660
Loan Amount
$194,640
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,838
Gross Yield
3.6%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026