Twin Falls
Investment Analysis

Twin Falls, ID
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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51
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.7%
Gross Yield
2.9%
P/R Ratio
28.2x
YoY Growth
+2.3%
Median Home Price
$335,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$806/mo
Median Income
$60,760
Population
53,219

Investment Breakdown

15
Value Score
73
Growth Score
76
Safety Score
61
Afford Score

Twin Falls has a price-to-rent ratio of 28.2x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.7% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +2.3% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $806
Annual Gross $9,672

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$419
Insurance (~0.5%) -$140
Maintenance (~1%) -$279
Est. Net Cash Flow -$32/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Twin Falls Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$358K2027$372Kโ–ฒ 3.8%2028$382Kโ–ฒ 6.7%20232024Now
$401K$318K
Current
$335K
2026
Projected
$372K
โ†‘ 3.8% by 2027
Projected
$382K
โ†‘ 6.7% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+6.8%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.41
โ–ผ

For anyone tracking the Twin Falls housing market forecast through 2028, the central question is sustainability. The area has seen remarkable appreciation, with a 5-year price change of 42.2% and a steady CAGR of 7.2%. However, recent momentum has cooled significantly, with YoY price change now at just 2.2%. This deceleration, combined with a Price-to-Rent Ratio of 32.0xโ€”far above the national average of 18xโ€”suggests that affordability is becoming a major headwind. When evaluating if Twin Falls home prices will drop, the data points to a plateau rather than a sharp correction. The Risk Grade of A indicates a stable economic base, but the market temperature score of 59/100 signals only moderate activity.

The local economy, driven by agriculture, food processing, and a growing tourism sector tied to the Snake River Canyon, provides a stable employment floor that should prevent drastic declines. However, the Buy/Rent Verdict of RENT highlights a critical imbalance: monthly ownership costs are significantly higher than the median rent of $806/mo, which will push many potential buyers to the sidelines. With days on market at 52, properties are still moving, but not with the urgency seen in previous years. As we look toward Twin Falls real estate Twin Falls 2027, expect a period of consolidation. Prices are likely to stabilize around the current median of $358,389, with modest single-digit growth driven by continued in-migration, but the era of rapid double-digit gains appears to be over unless local incomes rise to close the affordability gap.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.6%
5yr CAGR
+6.8%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.8%

Healthcare

73
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.9%
Months Supply 3.5
Price Drops 33%
Gone in 2 Wks 14%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Twin Falls.

Total ROI
-97%
on $67,000 invested
Annual ROI
-49%
compounded
Total Return
-$64,679
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,819
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y177kY288kY399kY4111kY5123k
Appreciation
$40,155
Cash Flow
-$104,834
Final Equity
$122,860

* Estimates based on 2.3% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Twin Falls

Property

Purchase Price$335,000
Monthly Rent$806
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,667
Monthly Cash Flow
-$20,009/ year
-29.9%
Cash-on-Cash
0.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$806
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,694
โˆ’ Property Tax$335
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$279
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$40
= Net Cash Flow-$1,667

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$67,000
Loan Amount
$268,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,473
Gross Yield
2.9%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026