Grand Island
Investment Analysis

Grand Island, NE
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

Share:

City-level screening

28.3x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
3.5%
Recorded YoY field
+3.8%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$282,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$829/mo
Median Income
$62,439
Population
52,761

Housing Screening Context

Grand Island has a computed screening multiple of 28.3x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 3.5%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: +3.8%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $829
Annual Gross $9,948

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$353
Insurance (~0.5%) -$118
Maintenance (~1%) -$235
Est. Net Cash Flow $124/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Grand Island Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$259K2027$276Kโ–ฒ 6.6%2028$287Kโ–ฒ 10.9%20232024Now
$301K$222K
Current
$282K
2026
Projected
$276K
โ†‘ 6.6% by 2027
Projected
$287K
โ†‘ 10.9% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.4%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.95
โ–ผ

The Grand Island housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of moderation rather than the rapid appreciation seen in the prior five years. While the 5-year price change of 40.3% is impressive, the current YoY price change has slowed to 2.5%, signaling a market that is stabilizing. The price-to-rent ratio stands at 22.1x, significantly higher than the national average of 18x, which supports the "RENT" verdict for those not committed to long-term residency. With a Days on Market average of 35, inventory is moving, but buyers are becoming more discerning in the face of higher borrowing costs and affordability constraints.

Answering the question of whether Grand Island home prices will drop requires looking at local fundamentals. The local economy, anchored by agriculture, manufacturing, and the healthcare sector at CHI Health St. Francis, provides a stable employment base that should prevent a sharp correction. However, affordability is becoming a pressure point; with the median rent at $829/mo compared to the median home price of $246,813, the gap is widening. While the risk grade remains an A for stability, the market temperature of 60/100 indicates a cooling trend. For those looking at Grand Island real estate Grand Island 2027, the outlook is for single-digit growth, likely aligning with the historical 5-year CAGR of 6.9% rather than the double-digit swings of the past.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.2%
5yr CAGR
+5.4%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.4%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.4%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 98.3%
Months Supply 2.1
Price Drops 24%
Gone in 2 Wks 28%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Grand Island.

Total ROI
-37%
on $56,400 invested
Annual ROI
-8.8%
compounded
Total Return
-$20,891
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,388
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y169kY283kY397kY4112kY5128k
Appreciation
$57,973
Cash Flow
-$78,865
Final Equity
$127,594

* Estimates based on 3.8% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Grand Island

Property

Purchase Price$282,000
Monthly Rent$829
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,280
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$15,365/ year
-27.2%
Cash-on-Cash
0.6%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$829
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,426
โˆ’ Property Tax$282
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$235
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$41
= Net Cash Flow-$1,280

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$56,400
Loan Amount
$225,600
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,109
Gross Yield
3.5%

Investor Toolkit

Research Grand Island before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026