Portland
Investment Analysis

Portland, OR
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

26.3x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
3.8%
Recorded YoY field
-1.5%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$561,525
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,776/mo
Median Income
$86,057
Population
630,395

Housing Screening Context

Portland has a computed screening multiple of 26.3x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 3.8%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: -1.5%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,776
Annual Gross $21,312

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$702
Insurance (~0.5%) -$234
Maintenance (~1%) -$468
Est. Net Cash Flow $372/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Portland Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
โžก๏ธ Stable
PROJECTEDNOW$541K2027$535Kโ–ผ 1.1%2028$529Kโ–ผ 2.1%20232024Now
$581K$503K
Current
$562K
2026
Projected
$535K
โ†“ 1.1% by 2027
Projected
$529K
โ†“ 2.1% by 2028
5yr CAGR:-0.1%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.30
โ–ผ

For anyone asking "will Portland home prices drop," the current data suggests a period of stabilization rather than a steep correction. The median home price sits at $517,821 with a slight year-over-year decline of -1.4%, indicating a cooling but not collapsing market. The price-to-rent ratio of 22.7x remains well above the national average of 18x, signaling that buying is still a significant premium over renting. This affordability squeeze, combined with a market temperature of 62/100 and a "RENT" verdict from analysts, points to a balanced but cautious environment where demand is tempered by high borrowing costs and local economic headwinds.

Looking ahead to the Portland housing market forecast through 2026-2028, expect modest appreciation anchored by the regionโ€™s steady tech and healthcare sectors. While Portland real estate faces affordability challenges, its "A" risk grade and resilient job market provide a floor for prices. The 5-year price change of 7.7% (a 1.5% CAGR) reflects a slower, more sustainable trajectory compared to the pandemic boom. Key local factors like ongoing urban revitalization efforts and inbound migration from higher-cost states could provide support, though inventory levels and days on market (currently 42) will be critical to watch. For Portland real estate Portland 2027, the outlook is one of single-digit growth, driven by fundamentals rather than speculation.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.5%
5yr CAGR
-0.1%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.8%

Healthcare

79
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 101.3%
Months Supply 2.8
Price Drops 36%
Gone in 2 Wks 50%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Portland.

Total ROI
-133%
on $112,305 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$149,228
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,645
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1117kY2122kY3127kY4133kY5139k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$149,228
Final Equity
$138,630

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Portland

Property

Purchase Price$561,525
Monthly Rent$1,776
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,307
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$27,680/ year
-24.6%
Cash-on-Cash
1.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,776
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,839
โˆ’ Property Tax$562
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$468
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$89
= Net Cash Flow-$2,307

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$112,305
Loan Amount
$449,220
Total Monthly Expenses
$4,083
Gross Yield
3.8%

Investor Toolkit

Research Portland before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026