Southaven
Investment Analysis

Southaven, MS
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

31.8x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
3.1%
Recorded YoY field
+1.1%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$299,900
Average Rent (1BR)
$785/mo
Median Income
$76,159
Population
55,531

Housing Screening Context

Southaven has a computed screening multiple of 31.8x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 3.1%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: +1.1%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $785
Annual Gross $9,420

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$375
Insurance (~0.5%) -$125
Maintenance (~1%) -$250
Est. Net Cash Flow $35/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Southaven Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$277K2027$290Kโ–ฒ 4.5%2028$297Kโ–ฒ 7.1%20232024Now
$312K$254K
Current
$300K
2026
Projected
$290K
โ†‘ 4.5% by 2027
Projected
$297K
โ†‘ 7.1% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.5%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.61
โ–ผ

For those evaluating the Southaven housing market forecast through 2028, the landscape appears stable yet constrained by affordability. With a current median home price of $269,807 and a price-to-rent ratio of 25.5x, the market significantly favors renting over buying, a dynamic reinforced by the "RENT" verdict. While the 5-year price change of 32.2% indicates substantial historical growth, the recent YoY price change has cooled to just 1.0%, signaling a shift toward normalization. The market temperature of 65/100 and a low Days on Market of 33 days suggest properties still move quickly, but the extreme ratio compared to the national average of 18x raises questions about future appreciation velocity.

When considering will Southaven home prices drop, the Risk Grade of A acts as a stabilizing factor, suggesting deep economic resilience despite stretched valuations. Southavenโ€™s proximity to Memphis continues to drive demand, yet local affordability limits may cap significant upside in the near term. The 5-year CAGR of 5.7% provides a realistic baseline for future growth, likely moderating from the highs of the previous cycle. For those looking at Southaven real estate Southaven 2027 and beyond, the forecast points toward a period of consolidation rather than correction. While renting remains the financially prudent choice in the short term given the high price-to-rent ratio, the area's low risk profile and steady employment base suggest prices will likely hold their value, posting modest gains rather than experiencing a sharp decline.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.0%
5yr CAGR
+4.5%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.5%

Healthcare

58
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 98.9%
Months Supply 3.2
Price Drops 27%
Gone in 2 Wks 26%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Southaven.

Total ROI
-122%
on $59,980 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$73,346
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,568
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y166kY272kY378kY484kY591k
Appreciation
$16,548
Cash Flow
-$89,894
Final Equity
$90,588

* Estimates based on 1.1% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Southaven

Property

Purchase Price$299,900
Monthly Rent$785
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,446
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$17,346/ year
-28.9%
Cash-on-Cash
0.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$785
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,516
โˆ’ Property Tax$300
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$250
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$39
= Net Cash Flow-$1,446

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$59,980
Loan Amount
$239,920
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,231
Gross Yield
3.1%

Investor Toolkit

Research Southaven before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026