Springfield
Investment Analysis

Springfield, MO
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
48
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.4%
Gross Yield
4.0%
P/R Ratio
21.3x
YoY Growth
+1.0%
Median Home Price
$215,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$723/mo
Median Income
$47,728
Population
170,178

Investment Breakdown

36
Value Score
60
Growth Score
43
Safety Score
61
Afford Score

Springfield has a price-to-rent ratio of 21.3x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.4% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +1.0% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $723
Annual Gross $8,676

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$269
Insurance (~0.5%) -$90
Maintenance (~1%) -$179
Est. Net Cash Flow $186/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Springfield Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$236K2027$258Kโ–ฒ 9.6%2028$271Kโ–ฒ 14.9%20232024Now
$284K$205K
Current
$215K
2026
Projected
$258K
โ†‘ 9.6% by 2027
Projected
$271K
โ†‘ 14.9% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.2%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.84
โ–ผ

Looking ahead to the 2026-2028 period, our Springfield housing market forecast suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic shifts. While the 5-year price change has been a robust 43.5%, the recent slowing to a 1.2% YoY increase indicates the market is finding its footing. With a Market Temperature of 66/100, conditions are still favorable for sellers but are becoming more balanced. The local economy, anchored by healthcare and Missouri State University, should provide steady demand, but the high Price-to-Rent Ratio of 23.9x will likely keep many potential buyers on the sidelines, opting to rent instead. This affordability challenge is a key factor that will temper price appreciation.

When asking will Springfield home prices drop significantly, the data points to unlikely. The Risk Grade of A and a tight Days on Market of 30 days suggest strong underlying demand that prevents major corrections. However, with the Buy/Rent Verdict firmly as RENT, the financial logic currently favors leasing over buying for the average household. For those tracking Springfield real estate Springfield 2027, expect price growth to moderate to the 7.4% five-year CAGR pace, rather than the rapid gains of the past. The market will likely see modest single-digit growth, driven by continued population stability and a constrained inventory of homes under $250,000.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.1%
5yr CAGR
+7.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.3%

Healthcare

72
Score
Good

Risk Factors

High Crime Area

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 91.2%
Months Supply 3.3
Price Drops 27%
Gone in 2 Wks 36%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Springfield.

Total ROI
-102%
on $43,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$43,713
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$972
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y147kY251kY355kY459kY564k
Appreciation
$10,744
Cash Flow
-$54,457
Final Equity
$63,823

* Estimates based on 1.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Springfield

Property

Purchase Price$215,000
Monthly Rent$723
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$919
Monthly Cash Flow
-$11,034/ year
-25.7%
Cash-on-Cash
0.9%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$723
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,087
โˆ’ Property Tax$215
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$179
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$36
= Net Cash Flow-$919

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$43,000
Loan Amount
$172,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,642
Gross Yield
4.0%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026