Fort Collins
Investment Analysis

Fort Collins, CO
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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40
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.8%
Gross Yield
2.9%
P/R Ratio
27.7x
YoY Growth
-1.2%
Median Home Price
$555,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,350/mo
Median Income
$81,883
Population
170,368

Investment Breakdown

17
Value Score
38
Growth Score
71
Safety Score
53
Afford Score

Fort Collins has a price-to-rent ratio of 27.7x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.8% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -1.2% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,350
Annual Gross $16,200

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$694
Insurance (~0.5%) -$231
Maintenance (~1%) -$463
Est. Net Cash Flow -$38/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Fort Collins Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$548K2027$584Kโ–ฒ 6.4%2028$598Kโ–ฒ 9.0%20232024Now
$628K$513K
Current
$555K
2026
Projected
$584K
โ†‘ 6.4% by 2027
Projected
$598K
โ†‘ 9.0% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.2%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.50
โ–ผ

Our Fort Collins housing market forecast for 2026-2028 anticipates a period of stabilization and modest recalibration rather than dramatic shifts. The current median home price of $548,493 has already seen a slight YoY decline of -1.3%, signaling that the rapid appreciation fueled by the pandemic era has cooled. With a price-to-rent ratio of 30.5xโ€”significantly above the national averageโ€”the financial incentive to buy remains constrained relative to renting. This dynamic, combined with a market temperature score of 52/100, suggests a balanced but slightly cooler environment where sellers must price competitively to move inventory. The 5-year CAGR of 4.3% provides a more realistic baseline for future growth than the overheated numbers seen in 2021-2022.

Local economic fundamentals will likely prevent a sharp correction. Fort Collins benefits from a stable employment base anchored by Colorado State University and a growing tech and bioscience sector, which supports consistent housing demand despite affordability challenges. However, the "Rent" verdict and high price-to-rent ratio indicate that first-time buyers will continue to face significant barriers, potentially keeping demand more focused on the rental market. For those asking will Fort Collins home prices drop significantly, the data suggests a soft landing is more probable than a crash. Properties are sitting for 75 days on average, giving buyers more leverage than in recent years but not indicating a distressed market.

Looking toward Fort Collins real estate Fort Collins 2027, we expect price growth to hover slightly above inflation, potentially in the 2-4% range annually, assuming interest rates moderate. The A- risk grade reflects a resilient market with strong long-term fundamentals, yet the affordability ceiling is being tested. If new housing supply keeps pace with the steady population growth driven by the university and local employers, prices should stabilize within the recent 5-year range. Ultimately, the forecast points to a normalized market where strategic pricing and location selection become critical, rather than the broad, rapid appreciation of the past.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.7%
5yr CAGR
+4.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.4%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.8%

Healthcare

82
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.4%
Months Supply 4.0
Price Drops 25%
Gone in 2 Wks 24%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Fort Collins.

Total ROI
-156%
on $111,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$172,764
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,000
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1116kY2120kY3126kY4131kY5137k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$172,764
Final Equity
$137,019

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Fort Collins

Property

Purchase Price$555,000
Monthly Rent$1,350
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,666
Monthly Cash Flow
-$31,997/ year
-28.8%
Cash-on-Cash
0.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,350
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,806
โˆ’ Property Tax$555
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$463
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$68
= Net Cash Flow-$2,666

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$111,000
Loan Amount
$444,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$4,016
Gross Yield
2.9%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026