Upland
Investment Analysis

Upland, CA
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

29.5x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
3.4%
Recorded YoY field
-1.0%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$745,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,104/mo
Median Income
$114,165
Population
78,707

Housing Screening Context

Upland has a computed screening multiple of 29.5x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 3.4%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: -1.0%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,104
Annual Gross $25,248

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$931
Insurance (~0.5%) -$310
Maintenance (~1%) -$621
Est. Net Cash Flow $242/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Upland Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$828K2027$873Kโ–ฒ 5.4%2028$898Kโ–ฒ 8.5%20232024Now
$943K$728K
Current
$745K
2026
Projected
$873K
โ†‘ 5.4% by 2027
Projected
$898K
โ†‘ 8.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.2%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.78
โ–ผ

For anyone evaluating the Upland housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of consolidation rather than significant growth. With a median home price of $804,378 and a recent YoY price change of -0.6%, the market has cooled from its pandemic-era highs. The price-to-rent ratio stands at 28.3x, well above the national average of 18x, which reinforces the "RENT" verdict for now. This metric indicates that buying remains financially challenging relative to leasing, especially given Upland's affordability constraints. The 5-year price change of 31.9% shows ample equity gains, but with days on market at just 27, sellers still hold leverage, even if price appreciation is flattening.

Looking ahead to Upland real estate 2027, local factors will likely anchor prices despite broader economic headwinds. The city's appeal lies in its proximity to the Inland Empire logistics hubs and its established residential character, which supports steady demand from families and commuters. However, affordability remains a pressing issue; the median rent of $2,104/mo is high relative to local incomes, potentially capping buyer pool growth. The risk grade of B+ suggests resilience, but a sustained mortgage rate environment above 6% could pressure values further. This leads to the critical question: will Upland home prices drop significantly? Likely not, given the tight inventory and 5-year CAGR of 5.6%, but expect flat to modest single-digit growth as the market normalizes.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.8%
5yr CAGR
+4.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 99.8%
Months Supply 2.3
Price Drops 23%
Gone in 2 Wks 38%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Upland.

Total ROI
-143%
on $149,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$213,715
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,749
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1155kY2162kY3169kY4176kY5184k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$213,715
Final Equity
$183,927

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Upland

Property

Purchase Price$745,000
Monthly Rent$2,104
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$3,259
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$39,110/ year
-26.2%
Cash-on-Cash
0.8%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,104
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$3,767
โˆ’ Property Tax$745
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$621
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$105
= Net Cash Flow-$3,259

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$149,000
Loan Amount
$596,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$5,363
Gross Yield
3.4%

Investor Toolkit

Research Upland before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026