Upland
Investment Analysis

Upland, CA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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40
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.0%
Gross Yield
3.4%
P/R Ratio
25.6x
YoY Growth
-1.0%
Median Home Price
$745,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,104/mo
Median Income
$114,165
Population
78,707

Investment Breakdown

23
Value Score
40
Growth Score
66
Safety Score
42
Afford Score

Upland has a price-to-rent ratio of 25.6x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 2.0% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -1.0% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,104
Annual Gross $25,248

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$931
Insurance (~0.5%) -$310
Maintenance (~1%) -$621
Est. Net Cash Flow $242/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Upland Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$804K2027$862Kโ–ฒ 7.2%2028$893Kโ–ฒ 11.0%20232024Now
$938K$696K
Current
$745K
2026
Projected
$862K
โ†‘ 7.2% by 2027
Projected
$893K
โ†‘ 11.0% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.4%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.78
โ–ผ

For anyone evaluating the Upland housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of consolidation rather than significant growth. With a median home price of $804,378 and a recent YoY price change of -0.6%, the market has cooled from its pandemic-era highs. The price-to-rent ratio stands at 28.3x, well above the national average of 18x, which reinforces the "RENT" verdict for now. This metric indicates that buying remains financially challenging relative to leasing, especially given Upland's affordability constraints. The 5-year price change of 31.9% shows ample equity gains, but with days on market at just 27, sellers still hold leverage, even if price appreciation is flattening.

Looking ahead to Upland real estate 2027, local factors will likely anchor prices despite broader economic headwinds. The city's appeal lies in its proximity to the Inland Empire logistics hubs and its established residential character, which supports steady demand from families and commuters. However, affordability remains a pressing issue; the median rent of $2,104/mo is high relative to local incomes, potentially capping buyer pool growth. The risk grade of B+ suggests resilience, but a sustained mortgage rate environment above 6% could pressure values further. This leads to the critical question: will Upland home prices drop significantly? Likely not, given the tight inventory and 5-year CAGR of 5.6%, but expect flat to modest single-digit growth as the market normalizes.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.8%
5yr CAGR
+5.4%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.5%
Months Supply 2.6
Price Drops 25%
Gone in 2 Wks 33%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Upland.

Total ROI
-143%
on $149,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$213,715
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,749
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1155kY2162kY3169kY4176kY5184k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$213,715
Final Equity
$183,927

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Upland

Property

Purchase Price$745,000
Monthly Rent$2,104
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$3,259
Monthly Cash Flow
-$39,110/ year
-26.2%
Cash-on-Cash
0.8%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,104
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$3,767
โˆ’ Property Tax$745
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$621
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$105
= Net Cash Flow-$3,259

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$149,000
Loan Amount
$596,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$5,363
Gross Yield
3.4%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026