Warner Robins
Investment Analysis

Warner Robins, GA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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65
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.0%
Gross Yield
5.1%
P/R Ratio
14.2x
YoY Growth
+3.3%
Median Home Price
$255,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,080/mo
Median Income
$59,646
Population
84,151

Investment Breakdown

57
Value Score
83
Growth Score
60
Safety Score
58
Afford Score

Warner Robins has a price-to-rent ratio of 14.2x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 3.0% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +3.3% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,080
Annual Gross $12,960

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$319
Insurance (~0.5%) -$106
Maintenance (~1%) -$213
Est. Net Cash Flow $443/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Warner Robins Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$206K2027$228Kโ–ฒ 10.5%2028$241Kโ–ฒ 17.0%20232024Now
$253K$172K
Current
$255K
2026
Projected
$228K
โ†‘ 10.5% by 2027
Projected
$241K
โ†‘ 17.0% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+8.2%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.93
โ–ผ

For anyone gauging the Warner Robins housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of steady, sustainable growth rather than another explosive surge. The current median home price of $206,160 sits on a solid foundation, supported by a healthy 5-year CAGR of 8.2% and the continued stability of Robins Air Force Base which underpins the local economy. However, the pace of appreciation has clearly moderated to a 2.7% annual increase, a significant cooldown from the post-pandemic frenzy. This deceleration directly addresses the question of will Warner Robins home prices drop; the prevailing data points to stabilization and modest gains rather than a significant correction. The market temperature of 64/100 reflects this transition into a more balanced environment for both buyers and sellers.

A key pillar supporting this forecast is the market's exceptional affordability, evidenced by a price-to-rent ratio of just 15.0x, which is notably below the national average. This dynamic, combined with a strong "BUY" verdict and an "A" risk grade, indicates that purchasing a home remains a financially sound decision compared to renting, likely attracting first-time buyers and investors looking for long-term value. As we look toward Warner Robins real estate Warner Robins 2027, the local demand will be heavily influenced by the health of the aerospace and defense sectors, alongside broader economic development aimed at diversifying the job base. With homes moving relatively quickly at 35 days on market, the foundation for demand remains present, but the frenetic pace of offers over the list price has likely subsided.

The forecast for the next three years is cautiously optimistic. Expect the median price to continue its upward trajectory, potentially reaching the mid-$210,000s by 2028, driven by the area's inherent affordability and steady population growth tied to the military installation. However, appreciation rates should be expected to remain in the low-to-mid single digits, a welcome normalization that helps the market build a healthier base. While the 5-year price change of 49.4% demonstrates the market's powerful momentum, the current climate is less about rapid flips and more about long-term equity building. The primary risk to this outlook would be a sharp, unexpected downturn in federal defense spending, but the market's "A" risk grade suggests it is well-positioned to weather typical economic fluctuations.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.5%
5yr CAGR
+8.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.4%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.9%

Healthcare

71
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.6%
Months Supply 4.9
Price Drops 25%
Gone in 2 Wks 20%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Warner Robins.

Total ROI
-10%
on $51,000 invested
Annual ROI
-2.1%
compounded
Total Return
-$5,192
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$941
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y162kY273kY384kY496kY5108k
Appreciation
$45,526
Cash Flow
-$50,719
Final Equity
$108,481

* Estimates based on 3.3% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Warner Robins

Property

Purchase Price$255,000
Monthly Rent$1,080
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$856
Monthly Cash Flow
-$10,271/ year
-20.1%
Cash-on-Cash
2.0%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,080
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,289
โˆ’ Property Tax$255
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$213
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$54
= Net Cash Flow-$856

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$51,000
Loan Amount
$204,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,936
Gross Yield
5.1%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026