Washington, DC
Housing Market Screening
City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.
City-level screening
Home price / annualized 1BR rent
Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.
Housing Screening Context
Washington has a computed screening multiple of 33.1x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 3.0%.
These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.
Recorded year-over-year price change: -3.2%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.
Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.
Rental Cash Flow Analysis
Monthly Income
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Price Forecast 2026โ2028
๐ฎ Washington Price Forecast 2026โ2028
For anyone evaluating the Washington housing market forecast through 2028, the data points to a period of stabilization rather than a dramatic rebound. The current median home price of $571,631 has already softened, with a YoY price change of -2.9% and a five-year CAGR of -1.1%. This suggests that the steep appreciation of the past is behind us. A key metric, the price-to-rent ratio at 24.8x (well above the national average of 18x), signals that buying remains expensive relative to renting. With a Market Temperature of just 56/100, the pace of transactions is deliberate, and Days on Market have stretched to 64, giving buyers more leverage than theyโve had in years. While the local government and legal sectors provide a stable employment floor, high borrowing costs will likely keep pressure on prices.
When asking will Washington home prices drop further, the answer is nuanced. The five-year price range of $568,729 โ $646,053 shows we are near the lower end of recent valuations, suggesting much of the correction may already be priced in. However, affordability constraints are real; the median rent of $1,803/mo makes the "rent" verdict in the Buy/Rent analysis logical for many. For Washington real estate Washington 2027, much depends on federal sector stability and interest rate movements. If mortgage rates ease, we may see a floor put under prices, but a rapid appreciation cycle is unlikely without a significant income boost or inventory shortage. The Risk Grade of A- indicates relative safety compared to more volatile markets, appealing to long-term holders.
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Showing cities with similar population (339k - 1018k) and cost of living index (87 - 130)
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* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.
Last updated: July 2026