Florence
Investment Analysis

Florence, SC
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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58
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.2%
Gross Yield
3.7%
P/R Ratio
17.7x
YoY Growth
+2.8%
Median Home Price
$259,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$792/mo
Median Income
$56,433
Population
40,205

Investment Breakdown

47
Value Score
78
Growth Score
47
Safety Score
62
Afford Score

Florence has a price-to-rent ratio of 17.7x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 2.2% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +2.8% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $792
Annual Gross $9,504

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$324
Insurance (~0.5%) -$108
Maintenance (~1%) -$216
Est. Net Cash Flow $145/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Florence Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📈 Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$216K2027$232K 7.2%2028$242K 11.9%20232024Now
$254K$188K
Current
$259K
2026
Projected
$232K
7.2% by 2027
Projected
$242K
11.9% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+6.1%
Confidence:High
R²:0.87

Looking ahead to the 2026-2028 period, the Florence housing market forecast suggests a period of normalization rather than dramatic shifts. The current median home price of $216,398 has seen a steady 5-year CAGR of 6.2%, but the recent YoY price change of 2.5% indicates a significant cooling from that pace. This deceleration is a key signal for anyone asking if will Florence home prices drop in the near term. While a sharp correction seems unlikely given the strong Risk Grade: A, the market temperature of 61/100 points to a balanced environment where sellers must price competitively. The 46 days on market provides buyers with more breathing room than in previous years, suggesting the frantic pace of the past is stabilizing.

Affordability will be a central theme for Florence real estate Florence 2027. The price-to-rent ratio stands at 20.0x, notably above the national average of 18x, which signals that buying is currently more expensive relative to renting than in many other areas. This could temper demand from first-time homebuyers, especially if local wage growth doesn't keep pace with housing costs. However, Florence's economy, anchored by healthcare and regional commerce, provides a stable foundation that supports the housing demand. The median rent of $792/mo remains accessible, potentially keeping a floor under rental demand and limiting investor-driven selling pressure. While the 5-year price range of $159,254 – $216,399 shows appreciation, the current high end of that range may face resistance.

Ultimately, the outlook for Florence is one of measured stability. The NEUTRAL buy/rent verdict aligns with the data, suggesting that neither buyers nor renters have a distinct, overwhelming advantage right now. The market is unlikely to see the explosive growth of the past five years, but the fundamentals—low risk and a stable local economy—should prevent a significant downturn. For potential buyers, the outlook is cautiously optimistic; for those waiting for a major price drop, the data suggests that any correction will likely be modest. The path forward appears to be one of incremental adjustments rather than sharp turns.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.5%
5yr CAGR
+6.1%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.8%

Healthcare

68
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

High Crime Area

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.3%
Months Supply 7.3
Price Drops 16%
Gone in 2 Wks 30%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Florence.

Total ROI
-61%
on $51,800 invested
Annual ROI
-17.2%
compounded
Total Return
-$31,597
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,246
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y161kY271kY381kY492kY5103k
Appreciation
$38,927
Cash Flow
-$70,524
Final Equity
$102,869

* Estimates based on 2.8% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Florence

Property

Purchase Price$259,000
Monthly Rent$792
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,157
Monthly Cash Flow
-$13,885/ year
-26.8%
Cash-on-Cash
0.7%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$792
− Mortgage (P&I)$1,310
− Property Tax$259
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$216
− Vacancy Loss$40
= Net Cash Flow-$1,157

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$51,800
Loan Amount
$207,200
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,949
Gross Yield
3.7%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026