South Valley CDP
Investment Analysis

South Valley CDP, NM
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

18.4x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
5.4%
Recorded YoY field
Not available

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$205,200
Average Rent (1BR)
$930/mo
Median Income
$51,062
Population
36,605

Housing Screening Context

South Valley CDP has a computed screening multiple of 18.4x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 5.4%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: Not available. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $930
Annual Gross $11,160

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$257
Insurance (~0.5%) -$86
Maintenance (~1%) -$171
Est. Net Cash Flow $417/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ South Valley CDP Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$349K2027$378Kโ–ฒ 8.3%2028$394Kโ–ฒ 12.9%20232024Now
$414K$305K
Current
$205K
2026
Projected
$378K
โ†‘ 8.3% by 2027
Projected
$394K
โ†‘ 12.9% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.7%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.89
โ–ผ

For anyone asking will South Valley CDP home prices drop, the current data suggests a plateau rather than a correction. The median home price sits at $205,200 with a flat year-over-year change of 0.0%, and a Days on Market of 35 indicates a balanced pace where buyers have time to decide but sellers arenโ€™t facing a standstill. A Price-to-Rent ratio of 18.4x is nearly identical to the national average, which keeps the rent-versus-buy equation largely neutral. While the 5-year price change of 43.0% and a 5-year CAGR of 7.3% show strong historical momentum, the market is now digesting those gains. The local economy, tied closely to the greater Albuquerque metro, offers steady employment but limited high-wage growth, which will likely anchor prices without major upside.

Looking ahead to the South Valley CDP housing market forecast for 2026-2028, I expect a period of stabilization with modest appreciation. Affordability remains a key factor; the median rent of $930/mo keeps renting attractive for many, especially with a Risk Grade of C signaling some economic vulnerability. South Valley CDP real estate South Valley CDP 2027 will likely see prices inch up slightly as new construction remains limited and the areaโ€™s relative affordability draws budget-conscious buyers from pricier parts of the metro. However, the marketโ€™s current temperature of 50/100 indicates a balanced market, not a hot one. Overall, the forecast is steady: barring a regional economic shock, prices should hold near current levels with low single-digit annual gains, making it a sensible, if not spectacular, environment for long-term homeowners.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.8%
5yr CAGR
+5.7%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

67
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Low Inventory

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for South Valley CDP.

Total ROI
-90%
on $41,040 invested
Annual ROI
-37.2%
compounded
Total Return
-$37,016
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$700
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y143kY245kY346kY448kY551k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$37,016
Final Equity
$50,660

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for South Valley CDP

Property

Purchase Price$205,200
Monthly Rent$930
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$655
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$7,864/ year
-19.2%
Cash-on-Cash
2.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$930
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,038
โˆ’ Property Tax$205
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$171
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$47
= Net Cash Flow-$655

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$41,040
Loan Amount
$164,160
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,585
Gross Yield
5.4%

Investor Toolkit

Research South Valley CDP before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026