Tyler
Investment Analysis

Tyler, TX
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

25.0x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
4.0%
Recorded YoY field
-0.9%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$302,450
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,009/mo
Median Income
$68,441
Population
110,325

Housing Screening Context

Tyler has a computed screening multiple of 25.0x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 4.0%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: -0.9%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,009
Annual Gross $12,108

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$378
Insurance (~0.5%) -$126
Maintenance (~1%) -$252
Est. Net Cash Flow $253/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Tyler Price Forecast 2026–2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📈 Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$254K2027$277Kâ–² 8.7%2028$286Kâ–² 12.6%20232024Now
$301K$239K
Current
$302K
2026
Projected
$277K
↑ 8.7% by 2027
Projected
$286K
↑ 12.6% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.2%
Confidence:Moderate
R²:0.69
â–¼

For anyone mapping out a Tyler housing market forecast through 2028, the current data paints a picture of normalization rather than a sharp downturn. After a five-year run that delivered a 35.7% gain and a 6.2% CAGR, the market is catching its breath, with a slight YoY price decline of -1.5% and a median price of $244,406. While some prospective buyers are asking will Tyler home prices drop further, the 58 days on market and a price-to-rent ratio of 18.2x—barely above the national average—suggest stability. The neutral buy/rent verdict and a risk grade of A indicate that the East Texas economy, buoyed by healthcare and education, provides a solid foundation for the Tyler real estate Tyler 2027 outlook.

Affordability remains a key support, with median rent at $1,009/month keeping ownership costs in check for many households. However, with a market temperature of 58/100, we should expect modest appreciation rather than the rapid gains of the past cycle. Local factors like steady job growth at Christus Health and the University of Texas at Tyler, combined with ongoing suburban development, will likely sustain demand without overheating prices. The 5-year price range of $180,167–$248,724 shows a healthy spread, offering options across income levels. Overall, the forecast leans toward balanced, single-digit growth through 2028, with prices holding firm unless broader economic shocks hit. Buyers and investors can proceed with measured confidence.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.7%
5yr CAGR
+5.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.2%

Healthcare

70
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 98.1%
Months Supply 5.1
Price Drops 28%
Gone in 2 Wks 25%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Tyler.

Total ROI
-127%
on $60,490 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$77,110
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,375
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y163kY266kY368kY471kY575k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$77,110
Final Equity
$74,669

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Tyler

Property

Purchase Price$302,450
Monthly Rent$1,009
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,250
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$15,004/ year
-24.8%
Cash-on-Cash
1.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,009
− Mortgage (P&I)$1,529
− Property Tax$302
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$252
− Vacancy Loss$50
= Net Cash Flow-$1,250

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$60,490
Loan Amount
$241,960
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,259
Gross Yield
4.0%

Investor Toolkit

Research Tyler before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026