Investment Breakdown
Tyler has a price-to-rent ratio of 16.6x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.
The estimated cap rate of 2.4% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.
Year-over-year price growth of -0.9% suggests a cooling market.
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Price Forecast 2026โ2028
๐ฎ Tyler Price Forecast 2026โ2028
For anyone mapping out a Tyler housing market forecast through 2028, the current data paints a picture of normalization rather than a sharp downturn. After a five-year run that delivered a 35.7% gain and a 6.2% CAGR, the market is catching its breath, with a slight YoY price decline of -1.5% and a median price of $244,406. While some prospective buyers are asking will Tyler home prices drop further, the 58 days on market and a price-to-rent ratio of 18.2xโbarely above the national averageโsuggest stability. The neutral buy/rent verdict and a risk grade of A indicate that the East Texas economy, buoyed by healthcare and education, provides a solid foundation for the Tyler real estate Tyler 2027 outlook.
Affordability remains a key support, with median rent at $1,009/month keeping ownership costs in check for many households. However, with a market temperature of 58/100, we should expect modest appreciation rather than the rapid gains of the past cycle. Local factors like steady job growth at Christus Health and the University of Texas at Tyler, combined with ongoing suburban development, will likely sustain demand without overheating prices. The 5-year price range of $180,167โ$248,724 shows a healthy spread, offering options across income levels. Overall, the forecast leans toward balanced, single-digit growth through 2028, with prices holding firm unless broader economic shocks hit. Buyers and investors can proceed with measured confidence.
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Market Position
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* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.
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Investment Summary
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.
Last updated: March 2026