Vallejo
Investment Analysis

Vallejo, CA
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

23.2x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
4.3%
Recorded YoY field
-5.5%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$515,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,853/mo
Median Income
$91,800
Population
122,796

Housing Screening Context

Vallejo has a computed screening multiple of 23.2x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 4.3%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: -5.5%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,853
Annual Gross $22,236

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$644
Insurance (~0.5%) -$215
Maintenance (~1%) -$429
Est. Net Cash Flow $566/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Vallejo Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
โžก๏ธ Stable
PROJECTEDNOW$523K2027$538Kโ–ฒ 2.9%2028$533Kโ–ฒ 2.0%20232024Now
$597K$497K
Current
$515K
2026
Projected
$538K
โ†‘ 2.9% by 2027
Projected
$533K
โ†‘ 2.0% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+0.1%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.14
โ–ผ

The Vallejo housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic growth, as the recent -5.4% YoY price correction signals a cooling phase. With a current median home price of $513,033 and a price-to-rent ratio of 20.6x, the market is leaning toward renting as the more financially prudent choice in the short term. The 5-year CAGR of just 1.9% indicates that long-term appreciation has been modest, and given the current market temperature of 63/100, we expect inventory levels to slowly increase, keeping upward pressure on prices muted.

Looking ahead to 2027 and 2028, affordability will be the key driver for Vallejo real estate. Vallejo 2027 will likely be defined by the tension between its relative value compared to the Bay Area core and local economic headwinds. While the Risk Grade of B+ suggests a stable investment environment, potential buyers asking "will Vallejo home prices drop" further should consider that the 5-year price range of $466,722 โ€“ $578,478 provides a strong floor. However, with days on market averaging 40, sellers must price realistically. The verdict to rent rather than buy reflects this equilibrium; while prices aren't poised to crash, significant appreciation seems unlikely without a broader regional economic uplift.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.6%
5yr CAGR
+0.1%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 100.7%
Months Supply 3.2
Price Drops 24%
Gone in 2 Wks 36%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Vallejo.

Total ROI
-119%
on $103,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$122,890
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,213
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1107kY2112kY3117kY4122kY5127k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$122,890
Final Equity
$127,144

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Vallejo

Property

Purchase Price$515,000
Monthly Rent$1,853
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,913
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$22,955/ year
-22.3%
Cash-on-Cash
1.6%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,853
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,604
โˆ’ Property Tax$515
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$429
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$93
= Net Cash Flow-$1,913

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$103,000
Loan Amount
$412,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,766
Gross Yield
4.3%

Investor Toolkit

Research Vallejo before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026