Victorville
Investment Analysis

Victorville, CA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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42
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.6%
Gross Yield
5.9%
P/R Ratio
13.5x
YoY Growth
-2.5%
Median Home Price
$425,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,104/mo
Median Income
$67,099
Population
138,871

Investment Breakdown

60
Value Score
25
Growth Score
32
Safety Score
42
Afford Score

Victorville has a price-to-rent ratio of 13.5x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 3.6% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -2.5% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,104
Annual Gross $25,248

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$531
Insurance (~0.5%) -$177
Maintenance (~1%) -$354
Est. Net Cash Flow $1,042/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Victorville Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$429K2027$467Kโ–ฒ 8.9%2028$483Kโ–ฒ 12.7%20232024Now
$508K$385K
Current
$425K
2026
Projected
$467K
โ†‘ 8.9% by 2027
Projected
$483K
โ†‘ 12.7% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+6.2%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.60
โ–ผ

For those evaluating a Victorville housing market forecast through 2028, the current landscape suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic swings. The median home price sits at $428,850, supported by a notably healthier price-to-rent ratio of 15.1x compared to the national average of 18x. While the recent YoY price change shows a slight dip at -2.0%, the 5-year price change remains robust at 37.8%, indicating that the market is digesting recent gains. With days on market averaging just 36, buyer interest persists, though the market temperature of 64/100 signals a shift toward equilibrium. Affordability remains a key draw for Inland Empire commuters, but rising insurance costs and regional economic headwinds could temper appreciation.

Addressing the question of whether Victorville home prices will drop, the data points toward a soft landing rather than a correction. The 5-year CAGR of 6.5% suggests sustainable growth, and the A- risk grade indicates a stable investment environment despite current fluctuations. Key local factors influencing the Victorville real estate Victorville 2027 outlook include ongoing logistics sector expansion and infrastructure improvements supporting the High Desert corridor. However, affordability constraints and potential interest rate volatility may limit aggressive price surges. The neutral buy/rent verdict implies that while immediate appreciation might be modest, long-term fundamentals remain solid for patient buyers.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.3%
5yr CAGR
+6.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.7%
Months Supply 4.1
Price Drops 20%
Gone in 2 Wks 23%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Victorville.

Total ROI
-77%
on $85,000 invested
Annual ROI
-25.6%
compounded
Total Return
-$65,580
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,280
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y188kY292kY396kY4100kY5105k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$65,580
Final Equity
$104,925

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Victorville

Property

Purchase Price$425,000
Monthly Rent$2,104
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,054
Monthly Cash Flow
-$12,653/ year
-14.9%
Cash-on-Cash
3.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,104
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,149
โˆ’ Property Tax$425
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$354
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$105
= Net Cash Flow-$1,054

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$85,000
Loan Amount
$340,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,158
Gross Yield
5.9%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026