Waterloo
Investment Analysis

Waterloo, IA
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

22.6x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
4.4%
Recorded YoY field
+2.7%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$200,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$737/mo
Median Income
$52,320
Population
66,604

Housing Screening Context

Waterloo has a computed screening multiple of 22.6x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 4.4%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: +2.7%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $737
Annual Gross $8,844

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$250
Insurance (~0.5%) -$83
Maintenance (~1%) -$167
Est. Net Cash Flow $237/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Waterloo Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$149K2027$161Kโ–ฒ 8.0%2028$167Kโ–ฒ 12.4%20232024Now
$176K$132K
Current
$200K
2026
Projected
$161K
โ†‘ 8.0% by 2027
Projected
$167K
โ†‘ 12.4% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.8%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.95
โ–ผ

For anyone asking "will Waterloo home prices drop," the current data suggests stability over decline, making the Waterloo housing market forecast for 2026-2028 one of steady, modest appreciation. With a Price-to-Rent Ratio of 14.2x, significantly below the national average, Waterloo remains one of the more affordable markets in the Midwest. This affordability, combined with a low Days on Market of 30, indicates sustained buyer interest. The local economy, anchored by John Deere and the University of Northern Iowa, provides a stable employment base that should support housing demand even if broader economic headwinds emerge. However, the YoY Price Change of just 1.5% signals a cooling from the explosive growth of the past five years, which saw a 31.9% total increase.

Looking toward 2027 and beyond, the market's "A" risk grade and "BUY" verdict highlight its resilience, but the 5.6% five-year CAGR is likely to normalize to a more sustainable 3-4% range through 2028. The current median home price of $143,091 remains accessible for first-time buyers, which will continue to fuel demand. However, potential headwinds include interest rate volatility and the cyclical nature of the regional manufacturing sector. While the Waterloo real estate Waterloo 2027 landscape won't see the rapid appreciation of the early 2020s, it also avoids the correction risks facing overheated coastal markets. For investors, the strong rent-to-price ratio offers solid cash flow potential, but capital appreciation will be more measured. The forecast is cautiously optimistic: expect a balanced market where affordability drives transactions, but seller leverage diminishes.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.4%
5yr CAGR
+4.8%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.9%

Healthcare

76
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 98.4%
Months Supply 1.6
Price Drops 34%
Gone in 2 Wks 55%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Waterloo.

Total ROI
-45%
on $40,000 invested
Annual ROI
-11.3%
compounded
Total Return
-$18,031
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$843
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y147kY254kY362kY470kY578k
Appreciation
$28,609
Cash Flow
-$46,640
Final Equity
$77,985

* Estimates based on 2.7% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Waterloo

Property

Purchase Price$200,000
Monthly Rent$737
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$803
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$9,634/ year
-24.1%
Cash-on-Cash
1.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$737
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,011
โˆ’ Property Tax$200
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$167
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$37
= Net Cash Flow-$803

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$40,000
Loan Amount
$160,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,540
Gross Yield
4.4%

Investor Toolkit

Research Waterloo before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026