Investment Breakdown
Baltimore has a price-to-rent ratio of 7.9x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.
The estimated cap rate of 4.7% is around the national average.
Year-over-year price growth of -0.7% suggests a cooling market.
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Price Forecast 2026โ2028
๐ฎ Baltimore Price Forecast 2026โ2028
Our Baltimore housing market forecast for 2026-2028 points toward a period of steady, fundamentals-driven growth rather than explosive gains. With a current median home price of $185,223, the city remains one of the nation's most affordable major markets, a key advantage as broader economic uncertainty persists. The recent -1.2% YoY price change signals a cooling from the post-pandemic boom, but this should be viewed as a normalization. The market's 63/100 temperature rating and a 5-year CAGR of 3.7% suggest sustainable appreciation ahead. For those wondering will Baltimore home prices drop significantly, the data suggests otherwise; instead, expect modest fluctuations as the market finds a new equilibrium.
A critical factor supporting prices is the city's exceptional affordability, highlighted by a price-to-rent ratio of just 8.8xโless than half the national average. This dynamic makes buying a compelling financial decision, reinforcing the "BUY" verdict and likely keeping buyer demand consistent, especially among first-time homebuyers and investors. The 41 days on market indicates properties are still moving at a healthy pace. Looking toward Baltimore real estate Baltimore 2027, growth will be underpinned by ongoing revitalization efforts in key neighborhoods and the stability of major employment sectors like healthcare and education. However, the path forward isn't without challenges; rising property taxes and the need for continued economic development in certain areas could temper appreciation. Overall, Baltimore appears positioned for moderate, stable growth, making it a solid long-term play rather than a short-term speculative bet.
Job Market
Healthcare
Risk Factors
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Market Position
Similar Markets Compare with cities of similar size & cost
Milwaukee
Albuquerque
Fresno
Tucson
Sacramento
Showing cities with similar population (283k - 848k) and cost of living index (82 - 123)
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* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.
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Investment Summary
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.
Last updated: March 2026