Irvine
Investment Analysis

Irvine, CA
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

56.2x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
1.8%
Recorded YoY field
+0.1%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$1,580,699
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,344/mo
Median Income
$127,989
Population
314,615

Housing Screening Context

Irvine has a computed screening multiple of 56.2x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 1.8%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: +0.1%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,344
Annual Gross $28,128

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$1,976
Insurance (~0.5%) -$659
Maintenance (~1%) -$1,317
Est. Net Cash Flow -$1,608/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Irvine Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$2M2027$2Mโ–ฒ 15.7%2028$2Mโ–ฒ 24.2%20232024Now
$2M$1M
Current
$2M
2026
Projected
$2M
โ†‘ 15.7% by 2027
Projected
$2M
โ†‘ 24.2% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+10.4%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.92
โ–ผ

For anyone asking "will Irvine home prices drop", our current data suggests a period of consolidation rather than a sharp correction. The median price sits at $1,517,282 with a slight -1.0% YoY change, a cooling signal after a remarkable 71.4% 5-year price change. This slowdown is a direct response to affordability pressures, highlighted by a price-to-rent ratio of 49.3x, which is more than double the national average. With an average of 56 days on market, the frantic pace has moderated, giving buyers a moment to breathe. This Irvine housing market forecast for 2026-2028 anticipates a stabilization phase where prices may trend sideways or see modest single-digit appreciation, driven by a persistent supply-demand imbalance but capped by high interest rates.

A key factor in the Irvine real estate Irvine 2027 outlook is the city's robust economic engine, anchored by top-tier universities and a thriving tech and biotech sector that continues to attract high-income earners. However, this strength is countered by significant affordability challenges, pushing many potential buyers to the RENT verdict for now. The market temperature of 58/100 and a B risk grade point to a balanced but cautious environment. While a major downturn is unlikely due to Irvine's desirability and strong fundamentals, the years ahead will likely see a tug-of-war between sustained demand from new residents and the headwinds of high borrowing costs, preventing the explosive growth seen in previous years.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.0%
5yr CAGR
+10.4%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 98.1%
Months Supply 4.6
Price Drops 30%
Gone in 2 Wks 26%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Irvine.

Total ROI
-183%
on $316,140 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$577,700
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$9,969
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1331kY2346kY3362kY4380kY5398k
Appreciation
$7,919
Cash Flow
-$585,619
Final Equity
$398,164

* Estimates based on 0.1% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Irvine

Property

Purchase Price$1,580,699
Monthly Rent$2,344
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$8,789
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$105,468/ year
-33.4%
Cash-on-Cash
-0.6%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,344
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$7,993
โˆ’ Property Tax$1,581
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$1,317
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$117
= Net Cash Flow-$8,789

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$316,140
Loan Amount
$1,264,559
Total Monthly Expenses
$11,133
Gross Yield
1.8%

Investor Toolkit

Research Irvine before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026