Long Beach
Investment Analysis

Long Beach, CA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
31
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.6%
Gross Yield
2.7%
P/R Ratio
27.2x
YoY Growth
-1.3%
Median Home Price
$895,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,006/mo
Median Income
$81,606
Population
449,496

Investment Breakdown

18
Value Score
38
Growth Score
41
Safety Score
35
Afford Score

Long Beach has a price-to-rent ratio of 27.2x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.6% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -1.3% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,006
Annual Gross $24,072

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$1,119
Insurance (~0.5%) -$373
Maintenance (~1%) -$746
Est. Net Cash Flow -$232/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Long Beach Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$839K2027$887Kโ–ฒ 5.8%2028$917Kโ–ฒ 9.3%20232024Now
$962K$717K
Current
$895K
2026
Projected
$887K
โ†‘ 5.8% by 2027
Projected
$917K
โ†‘ 9.3% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.6%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.79
โ–ผ

For anyone asking will Long Beach home prices drop, the current data suggests a plateau rather than a steep correction. With a median home price of $838,597 and a recent YoY change of -0.4%, the market is losing steam after a strong run, but fundamentals remain relatively stable. The price-to-rent ratio at 30.7x is significantly above the national average of 18x, signaling that buying remains expensive relative to renting, which will cap demand. However, days on market are still lean at 28 days, and the market temperature sits at a moderate 67/100, indicating that while the frenzy has cooled, properties are still moving.

Looking ahead to the Long Beach housing market forecast through 2028, affordability will be the central constraint. The local economy, heavily tied to the Port of Los Angeles and regional logistics, faces headwinds from broader trade uncertainty, which could temper wage growth and housing demand. Yet, Long Beachโ€™s coastal desirability and ongoing urban infill projects provide a floor under prices. While the 5-year price change of 26.3% and a CAGR of 4.7% show solid appreciation, the current stagnation suggests a period of consolidation. For Long Beach real estate Long Beach 2027, expect flat to modest single-digit growth as the market digests recent gains and affordability challenges persist.

Renters have the upper hand for now, with a median rent of $2,006/mo making the "rent" verdict logical given the high price-to-rent ratio. While a B+ risk grade suggests the market isnโ€™t in distress, buyers should be cautious of overpaying in a climate where inventory could gradually rise if economic softening continues. The 5-year price range of $664,045 to $845,987 provides a historical context for potential downside, though a crash seems unlikely. Ultimately, Long Beach is transitioning from a sellerโ€™s market to a more balanced one, where patience and negotiation power will be key for buyers over the next three years.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.7%
5yr CAGR
+4.6%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Overvalued Market
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.8%
Months Supply 4.8
Price Drops 21%
Gone in 2 Wks 33%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Long Beach.

Total ROI
-162%
on $179,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$289,263
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$5,000
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1186kY2194kY3203kY4211kY5221k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$289,263
Final Equity
$220,959

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Long Beach

Property

Purchase Price$895,000
Monthly Rent$2,006
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$4,386
Monthly Cash Flow
-$52,629/ year
-29.4%
Cash-on-Cash
0.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,006
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$4,526
โˆ’ Property Tax$895
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$746
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$100
= Net Cash Flow-$4,386

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$179,000
Loan Amount
$716,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$6,392
Gross Yield
2.7%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026